Reddit · 9 graded picks

u/Least-Run-7281Unranked

First post Aug 6, 2026, latest Aug 26, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/least-run-7281 (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

−1.21u

9 priced picks

ROI

−13.4%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

3-4-2

Win rate 42.9%

CLV

−2.52%

95% interval −5.07% to −0.37%

Beat fair close

33.3%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

Open picks are for members

Records are free. Members see today's board: every pick, how many cappers are on it, and who.

Start trial

Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now −1.21u, peak +2.79u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
MLB	9	3-4-2	−13.4%	−2.52%	33.3%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Moneyline	7	2-3-2	−16.0%	−2.97%	28.6%	Unranked
Player props	1	0-1-0	−100.0%	−2.94%	0.0%	Unranked
Total	1	1-0-0	+90.9%	+1.04%	100.0%	Unranked

Graded picks

9 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/Least-Run-7281: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Aug 26, 4:11 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	SEA F5 ML +115 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · PHI @ SEA	+115 to a fair close of +128	Loss	−5.56%	−1.00u
Aug 20, 2:11 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	J. Naylor over 1.5 H+R+RBI (+115) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · SEA @ MIL	+115 to a fair close of +122	Loss	−2.94%	−1.00u
Aug 19, 6:05 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	MIA F5 ML −104 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · MIA @ PHI	−104 to a fair close of +120	Loss	−10.69%	−1.00u
Aug 17, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	ATL F5 ML −120 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · ATL @ MIN	−120 to a fair close of −115	Loss	−1.75%	−1.00u
Aug 16, 1:41 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	MIA F5 ML −120 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · MIA @ CIN	−120 to a fair close of −113	Push	−2.63%	0.00u
Aug 14, 6:11 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	MIA/CIN F5 Under 4 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · MIA @ CIN	−110 to a fair close of −112	Win	+1.04%	+0.91u
Aug 10, 9:41 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	MIL F5 ML −120 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · MIL @ SD	−120 to a fair close of −125	Win	+1.78%	+0.83u
Aug 9, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	DET F5 ML −120 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · DET @ SF	−120 to a fair close of −114	Push	−2.16%	0.00u
Aug 7, 9:46 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	TB F5 ML +105 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · TB @ SEA	+105 to a fair close of +105	Win	+0.20%	+1.05u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

More proven sharps

See the full leaderboard

Is this your profile? Request removal or a correction