u/LeatherPeach7324Unranked

4 graded picks, first post Sep 21, 2026, latest Sep 26, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Units won, flat 1u

−0.44u

4 priced picks

ROI

−10.9%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

2-2-0

Win rate 50.0%

CLV

−6.77%

95% interval −8.33% to −5.20%

Beat the fair close

0.0%

Share of priced picks above the no-vig close

Cumulative units, flat 1u

Now −0.4u, peak +0.6u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
NFL	4	2-2-0	−10.9%	−6.77%	0.0%	Unranked

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Player props	4	2-2-0	−10.9%	−6.77%	0.0%	Unranked

4 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

u/LeatherPeach7324: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFLKC @ MIA	D. Achane over 60.5 rush yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)	−110 to a fair close of +101	Loss	−5.20%	−1.00u
Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFLATL @ GB	J. Love over 225.5 pass yds (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)	−120 to a fair close of +100	Win	−8.33%	+0.83u
Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFLNYG @ LAR	K. Williams over 59.5 rush yds (−137) (original post, opens in a new tab)	−137	Win	n/a	+0.73u
Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFLNYG @ LAR	J. Dart over 29.5 rush yds (−148) (original post, opens in a new tab)	−148	Loss	n/a	−1.00u

All 4 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.