u/mandela336Unranked

4 graded picks, first post Sep 16, 2026, latest Sep 28, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Units won, flat 1u

−2.09u

4 priced picks

ROI

−52.3%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

1-3-0

Win rate 25.0%

CLV

−7.63%

95% interval −10.67% to −4.56%

Beat the fair close

0.0%

Share of priced picks above the no-vig close

Cumulative units, flat 1u

Now −2.1u, peak +0.9u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
NFL	4	1-3-0	−52.3%	−7.63%	0.0%	Unranked

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Spread	2	1-1-0	−4.5%	−8.43%	0.0%	Unranked
Team total	1	0-1-0	−100.0%	−11.03%	0.0%	Unranked
Total	1	0-1-0	−100.0%	−2.64%	0.0%	Unranked

4 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

u/mandela336: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFLPHI @ CHI	PHI −3.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)	−115 to a fair close of +108	Loss	−10.31%	−1.00u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFLLAC @ BUF	BUF TT Over 30.5 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab)	+100 to a fair close of +125	Loss	−11.03%	−1.00u
Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFLATL @ GB	ATL/GB Under 43.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)	−115 to a fair close of −109	Loss	−2.64%	−1.00u
Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFLDET @ BUF	BUF −5.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)	−110 to a fair close of +104	Win	−6.54%	+0.91u

All 4 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.