X · 11 graded picks

@mattftheoracleUnranked

First post Aug 3, 2026, latest Sep 13, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

@mattftheoracle (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

−9.07u

11 priced picks

ROI

−82.5%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

1-10-0

Win rate 9.1%

CLV

−3.65%

95% interval −5.79% to −1.51%

Beat fair close

9.1%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

Open picks are for members

Records are free. Members see today's board: every pick, how many cappers are on it, and who.

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now −9.07u, peak 0.00u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
NFL	11	1-10-0	−82.5%	−3.65%	9.1%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Spread	8	1-7-0	−75.9%	−4.54%	0.0%	Unranked
Total	3	0-3-0	−100.0%	−1.26%	33.3%	Unranked

Graded picks

11 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

@mattftheoracle: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	DEN +2.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DEN @ KC	−110 to a fair close of −105	Loss	−2.33%	−1.00u
Sep 13, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	NYG +3 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DAL @ NYG	−108 to a fair close of +105	Win	−6.02%	+0.93u
Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	LAC −9.5 (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · ARI @ LAC	−109 to a fair close of +109	Loss	−8.46%	−1.00u
Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	MIA +3 (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · MIA @ LV	−109 to a fair close of +102	Loss	−5.05%	−1.00u
Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	NYJ/TEN Over 38.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · NYJ @ TEN	−110 to a fair close of −121	Loss	+4.35%	−1.00u
Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	BAL/IND Under 48.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · BAL @ IND	−115 to a fair close of −106	Loss	−3.63%	−1.00u
Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	ATL/PIT Over 41.5 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · ATL @ PIT	+100 to a fair close of +109	Loss	−4.48%	−1.00u
Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	DET −7 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · NO @ DET	−108 to a fair close of +111	Loss	−8.94%	−1.00u
Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	TB +3.5 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · TB @ CIN	−108 to a fair close of +101	Loss	−4.04%	−1.00u
Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	CAR +3 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CHI @ CAR	−110 to a fair close of −107	Loss	−1.12%	−1.00u
Sep 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	IND +3.5 (−136) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · BAL @ IND	−136 to a fair close of −135	Loss	−0.38%	−1.00u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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