@mc_silly3Losing to the close
71 graded picks, first post Aug 1, 2026, latest Sep 29, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
−18.33u
71 priced picks
ROI
−25.8%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
29-42-0
Win rate 40.8%
CLV
−4.75%
95% interval −6.41% to −3.13%
Beat the fair close
20.0%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WNBA | 29 | 12-17-0 | −27.7% | −4.99% | 20.8% | Losing to the close |
| Soccer | 21 | 9-12-0 | −18.3% | −4.53% | 23.8% | Losing to the close |
| NCAAF | 11 | 6-5-0 | −1.0% | −4.74% | 20.0% | Unranked |
| NFL | 5 | 2-3-0 | −27.2% | −4.74% | 20.0% | Unranked |
| NHL | 4 | 0-4-0 | −100.0% | −5.11% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| MLB | 1 | 0-1-0 | −100.0% | −2.14% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player props | 28 | 11-17-0 | −31.6% | −3.70% | 22.7% | Losing to the close |
| Moneyline | 21 | 10-11-0 | −9.6% | −7.00% | 14.3% | Losing to the close |
| Spread | 10 | 4-6-0 | −27.5% | −4.09% | 20.0% | Unranked |
| Total | 8 | 3-5-0 | −29.6% | −3.12% | 25.0% | Unranked |
| Team total | 4 | 1-3-0 | −58.3% | −3.58% | 25.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Oct 4, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAC @ SEA | LAC +7.5 (−119) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −119 to a fair close of −120 | Win | +0.42% | +0.84u |
| Tue Sep 29, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NHLNYR @ BOS | NYR ML −104 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −104 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −1.92% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 29, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NHLMTL @ TOR | G. McKenna over 0.5 pts (+110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 to a fair close of +127 | Loss | −7.33% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 29, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NHLMTL @ TOR | TOR ML −109 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −109 to a fair close of +107 | Loss | −7.35% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 29, 5:10 PM ETReconstructed | NHLFLA @ CAR | CAR ML −130 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −119 | Loss | −3.84% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 27, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerColumbus vs Miami | Miami TT Over 1.5 (−163) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −163 to a fair close of −139 | Loss | −6.13% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFTEX @ TENN | TENN +5.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −102 | Win | −3.63% | +0.91u |
| Mon Sep 21, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYG @ LAR | NYG +6.5 (−104) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −104 to a fair close of +109 | Loss | −6.36% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 19, 10:15 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerAthletic vs Alavés | Athletic TT Over 1.5 (−138) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −138 to a fair close of −111 | Loss | −9.45% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 19, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerEverton vs Ipswich | Everton ML −134 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −134 to a fair close of −119 | Win | −5.23% | +0.75u |
| Fri Sep 18, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerBrentford vs Chelsea | Chelsea TT Over 1.5 (−138) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −138 to a fair close of +109 | Loss | −17.56% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 17, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAPHX @ POR | POR ML +100 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +141 | Loss | −17.15% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ BUF | J. Allen over 253.5 pass yds (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −5.36% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 17, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ BUF | BUF −4.5 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −104 | Win | −8.06% | +0.80u |
| Thu Sep 17, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFSYR @ PITT | SYR ML +325 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +325 to a fair close of +406 | Loss | −15.98% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 15, 2:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerAlavés vs Valencia | Alavés ML −125 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −135 | Loss | +3.35% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDEN @ KC | DEN +2.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −105 | Loss | −4.35% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFOU @ MICH | MICH ML +172 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +172 to a fair close of +191 | Win | −6.65% | +1.72u |
| Sat Sep 12, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerBournemouth vs Brentford | Brentford/Bournemouth Under 2.5 (+128) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +128 to a fair close of +141 | Loss | −5.46% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 7, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFSMU @ FSU | Y. Knight over 52.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 6, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerJuventus vs Milan | Juventus ML +110 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 to a fair close of +132 | Loss | −9.44% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 6, 9:00 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerEverton vs Man United | Man United ML +110 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 to a fair close of −101 | Loss | +5.47% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 5, 10:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFUCLA @ CAL | UCLA ML −127 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −127 to a fair close of −130 | Win | +1.10% | +0.79u |
| Sat Sep 5, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFWYO @ CSU | WYO +3.5 (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 to a fair close of −135 | Loss | +4.46% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 5, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFBAY @ AUB | AUB ML −291 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −291 to a fair close of −236 | Win | −5.61% | +0.34u |
| Sat Sep 5, 12:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerHull vs Aston Villa | Aston Villa/Hull Under 2.5 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +107 | Win | −3.36% | +1.00u |
| Sat Sep 5, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFLIB @ JMU | JMU ML −230 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −230 to a fair close of −210 | Win | −2.75% | +0.43u |
| Sat Sep 5, 7:30 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerNewcastle vs Bournemouth | Newcastle ML +110 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 to a fair close of +125 | Loss | −6.86% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 4, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFUTEP @ OU | J. Mateer over 239.5 pass yds (−119) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −119 to a fair close of −105 | Loss | −5.92% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 3, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFCOLO @ GT | COLO +7.5 (−143) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −143 to a fair close of −135 | Win | −2.30% | +0.70u |
| Tue Sep 1, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ CLE | TOR/CLE Over 8 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +104 | Loss | −2.14% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 31, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerBarcelona vs Rayo | Barcelona TT Over 2.5 (−150) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −150 to a fair close of −248 | Win | +18.82% | +0.67u |
| Mon Aug 31, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerAston Villa vs Arsenal | Arsenal −1.5 (+145) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +145 to a fair close of +151 | Loss | −2.57% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 30, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerCagliari vs Inter Milan | Inter Milan/Cagliari Under 2.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +129 | Win | −16.63% | +0.91u |
| Sun Aug 30, 9:00 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerChelsea vs Brighton | Chelsea ML −112 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of −112 | Win | −0.17% | +0.89u |
| Sat Aug 29, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFHAW @ STAN | HAW +3.5 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +123 | Loss | −10.13% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 29, 12:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSpurs vs Newcastle | Newcastle/Spurs Over 2.5 (−163) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −163 to a fair close of −149 | Loss | −3.40% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 29, 9:30 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerUnion Berlin vs Frankfurt | Frankfurt ML +135 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +135 to a fair close of +161 | Loss | −10.06% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 29, 9:30 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerCologne vs Hoffenheim | Cologne ML +155 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +155 to a fair close of +246 | Win | −26.36% | +1.55u |
| Mon Aug 24, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerFulham vs Chelsea | Chelsea ML −105 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +108 | Win | −6.28% | +0.95u |
| Sat Aug 22, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerEspanyol vs Real Madrid | Real Madrid/Espanyol Over 2.5 (−138) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −138 to a fair close of −155 | Win | +4.96% | +0.72u |
| Sat Aug 22, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerIpswich vs Sunderland | Sunderland/Ipswich Under 2.5 (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −130 | Loss | +4.38% | −1.00u |
| Fri Aug 21, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerMarseille vs Strasbourg | Marseille ML −138 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −138 to a fair close of −128 | Win | −3.11% | +0.72u |
| Thu Aug 20, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAIND @ DAL | IND −3.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −8.33% | −1.00u |
| Wed Aug 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | WNBATOR @ WSH | S. Citron over 17.5 pts (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Wed Aug 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | WNBATOR @ WSH | TOR ML +612 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +612 to a fair close of +728 | Loss | −13.97% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 18, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAATL @ LV | A. Reese under 15.5 pts (+105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +105 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 18, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAIND @ TOR | C. Clark over 2.5 3PM (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −120 | Win | −3.58% | +0.77u |
| Mon Aug 17, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBADAL @ GS | G. Williams under 1.5 3PM (−140) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −140 to a fair close of −138 | Loss | −0.63% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 16, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBACHI @ SEA | N. Cloud over 5.5 ast (−145) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −145 to a fair close of −151 | Loss | +1.67% | −1.00u |
All 71 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.