Reddit · 4 graded picks

u/Outside_Pace4582Unranked

First post Jul 5, 2026, latest Jul 27, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/outside_pace4582 (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

+1.59u

4 priced picks

ROI

+39.7%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

3-1-0

Win rate 75.0%

CLV

−1.26%

95% interval −3.50% to +0.53%

Beat fair close

50.0%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now +1.59u, peak +2.59u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
MLB	4	3-1-0	+39.7%	−1.26%	50.0%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Moneyline	4	3-1-0	+39.7%	−1.26%	50.0%	Unranked

Graded picks

4 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/Outside_Pace4582: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Jul 27, 9:45 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	MIL ML −133 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · MIL @ SF	−133 to a fair close of −129	Loss	−1.42%	−1.00u
Jul 26, 1:41 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	SD ML +110 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · SD @ MIA	+110 to a fair close of +108	Win	+0.96%	+1.10u
Jul 25, 7:16 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	LAD ML −145 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · LAD @ NYM	−145 to a fair close of −145	Win	+0.10%	+0.69u
Jul 24, 6:46 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	ARI ML −125 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · ARI @ WSH	−125 to a fair close of −113	Win	−4.70%	+0.80u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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