u/PurpleDragonBetsNot yet
132 graded picks, first post Nov 3, 2025, latest Sep 29, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
−9.62u
132 priced picks
ROI
−7.3%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
67-59-6
Win rate 53.2%
CLV
−0.19%
95% interval −1.15% to +0.79%
Beat the fair close
47.0%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 105 | 55-45-5 | −5.1% | +0.12% | 45.7% | Not yet |
| NCAAB | 15 | 7-8-0 | −13.3% | −0.29% | 60.0% | Unranked |
| NFL | 7 | 3-3-1 | −8.7% | −4.35% | 28.6% | Unranked |
| NCAAF | 4 | 2-2-0 | −15.8% | −0.10% | 75.0% | Unranked |
| NHL | 1 | 0-1-0 | −100.0% | −2.83% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 93 | 50-40-3 | −4.4% | +0.32% | 49.5% | Not yet |
| Spread | 38 | 16-19-3 | −16.7% | −1.73% | 39.5% | Not yet |
| Total | 1 | 1-0-0 | +84.8% | +10.86% | 100.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tue Sep 29, 2:00 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPHI @ ATL | ATL −1 (−124) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −124 to a fair close of −113 | Win | −3.97% | +0.81u |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCOL @ CHW | CHW −1 (−154) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −154 to a fair close of −172 | Loss | +4.40% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 24, 3:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBARI @ COL | ARI ML −143 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −143 to a fair close of −181 | Win | +9.42% | +0.70u |
| Wed Sep 23, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ PHI | MIL ML −131 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −131 to a fair close of −116 | Win | −5.47% | +0.76u |
| Tue Sep 22, 8:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBARI @ COL | ARI ML −159 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −159 to a fair close of −163 | Win | +0.86% | +0.63u |
| Sun Sep 20, 7:21 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ BAL | MIL ML −167 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −167 to a fair close of −194 | Win | +5.51% | +0.60u |
| Sat Sep 19, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYY @ ARI | NYY ML −135 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −135 to a fair close of −148 | Loss | +3.86% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 18, 8:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ TEX | TOR F5 ML −140 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −140 to a fair close of −130 | Loss | −3.10% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 17, 1:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATH @ TB | TB −1.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of −110 | Win | −0.64% | +0.89u |
| Wed Sep 16, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAD @ CIN | LAD −1 (−154) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −154 to a fair close of −166 | Loss | +2.89% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 14, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAD @ CIN | LAD −1 (−164) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −164 to a fair close of −160 | Win | −1.01% | +0.61u |
| Mon Sep 14, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAD @ CIN | LAD ML −164 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −164 to a fair close of −200 | Win | +7.26% | +0.61u |
| Sat Sep 12, 4:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAD @ MIA | LAD −1 (−141) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −141 to a fair close of −121 | Loss | −6.39% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 11, 7:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBHOU @ TB | TB ML −164 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −164 to a fair close of −178 | Win | +3.15% | +0.61u |
| Thu Sep 10, 1:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBHOU @ PHI | PHI ML −163 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −163 to a fair close of −173 | Loss | +2.20% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 8, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHC @ MIL | MIL −1 (−150) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −150 to a fair close of −130 | Push | −5.73% | 0.00u |
| Mon Sep 7, 10:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ ATH | TOR ML −153 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −153 to a fair close of −195 | Loss | +9.32% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 6, 1:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHC @ MIA | CHC ML −135 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −135 to a fair close of −125 | Loss | −3.24% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 5, 6:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBDET @ CLE | CLE ML −145 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −145 to a fair close of −149 | Loss | +1.09% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 4, 6:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ CIN | MIL ML −154 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −154 to a fair close of −143 | Win | −2.84% | +0.65u |
| Thu Sep 3, 7:15 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ CHC | MIL F5 ML −115 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −114 | Loss | −0.22% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 2, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ CHC | MIL ML −146 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −146 to a fair close of −137 | Win | −2.67% | +0.68u |
| Tue Sep 1, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBDET @ MIN | DET F5 ML −110 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −4.55% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 31, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYM @ TB | TB ML −152 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −152 to a fair close of −171 | Loss | +4.66% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 30, 1:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAD @ DET | LAD ML −142 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −142 to a fair close of −143 | Win | +0.39% | +0.70u |
| Sat Aug 29, 4:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCOL @ ATL | ATL ML −148 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −148 to a fair close of −222 | Win | +15.46% | +0.68u |
| Fri Aug 28, 6:46 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIA @ WSH | MIA F5 ML −145 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −145 to a fair close of −135 | Loss | −2.87% | −1.00u |
| Thu Aug 27, 7:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ NYM | MIL ML −160 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −160 to a fair close of −181 | Win | +4.64% | +0.63u |
| Wed Aug 26, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ MIA | BOS ML −144 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −144 to a fair close of −123 | Loss | −6.67% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 25, 7:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ NYM | MIL ML −153 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −153 to a fair close of −151 | Loss | −0.54% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 24, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTB @ DET | TB F5 ML −135 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −135 to a fair close of −131 | Win | −1.32% | +0.74u |
| Sun Aug 23, 2:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAA @ TEX | TEX F5 ML −130 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −140 | Win | +3.24% | +0.77u |
| Sat Aug 22, 2:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATL @ MIL | MIL ML −150 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −150 to a fair close of −151 | Win | +0.25% | +0.67u |
| Fri Aug 21, 8:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBDET @ KC | DET F5 ML −102 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −102 to a fair close of +111 | Loss | −6.03% | −1.00u |
| Thu Aug 20, 8:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAA @ HOU | HOU ML −132 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −132 to a fair close of −174 | Loss | +11.67% | −1.00u |
| Thu Aug 20, 8:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAA @ HOU | HOU −1 (−132) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −132 to a fair close of −121 | Loss | −3.93% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 18, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ TB | TB ML −135 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −135 to a fair close of −127 | Loss | −2.56% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 17, 6:05 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBAL @ TB | TB ML −150 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −150 to a fair close of −153 | Win | +0.78% | +0.67u |
| Fri Aug 14, 10:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ LAD | LAD ML −125 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −164 | Win | +11.85% | +0.80u |
| Wed Aug 12, 3:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTB @ ATH | TB −1 (−167) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −167 to a fair close of −179 | Win | +2.50% | +0.60u |
| Tue Aug 11, 9:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTB @ ATH | TB ML −153 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −153 to a fair close of −182 | Win | +6.81% | +0.65u |
| Mon Aug 10, 7:07 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ TOR | BOS ML −160 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −160 to a fair close of −156 | Loss | −0.98% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 8, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHC @ KC | CHC ML −153 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −153 to a fair close of −142 | Loss | −2.88% | −1.00u |
| Fri Aug 7, 9:46 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTB @ SEA | TB ML +105 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +105 to a fair close of +108 | Win | −1.44% | +1.05u |
| Wed Aug 5, 3:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTB @ COL | TB ML −153 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −153 to a fair close of −144 | Win | −2.31% | +0.65u |
| Mon Aug 3, 8:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTB @ COL | TB ML −150 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −150 to a fair close of −169 | Win | +4.75% | +0.67u |
| Sun Aug 2, 3:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ LAA | MIL F5 −0.5 (−154) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −154 to a fair close of −139 | Loss | −4.09% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 1, 9:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ LAD | LAD ML −156 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −156 to a fair close of −172 | Loss | +3.82% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jul 31, 9:39 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ LAA | MIL ML −160 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −160 to a fair close of −159 | Win | −0.35% | +0.63u |
| Thu Jul 30, 9:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ ATH | BOS ML −158 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −158 to a fair close of −169 | Win | +2.63% | +0.63u |
All 132 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.