Reddit · 6 graded picks

u/RengokuIsDeadUnranked

First post Jul 2, 2026, latest Jul 10, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/rengokuisdead (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

−2.81u

6 priced picks

ROI

−46.8%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

2-4-0

Win rate 33.3%

CLV

−2.56%

95% interval −4.33% to −0.52%

Beat fair close

16.7%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now −2.81u, peak +0.19u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
MLB	6	2-4-0	−46.8%	−2.56%	16.7%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Moneyline	3	1-2-0	−46.6%	−1.94%	33.3%	Unranked
Spread	3	1-2-0	−47.1%	−3.18%	0.0%	Unranked

Graded picks

6 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/RengokuIsDead: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Jul 10, 10:16 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	SF ML −156 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · COL @ SF	−156 to a fair close of −139	Loss	−4.62%	−1.00u
Jul 7, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	CHW +1.5 (−155) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · BOS @ CHW	−155 to a fair close of −146	Loss	−2.38%	−1.00u
Jul 6, 7:16 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	ATL ML −125 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · NYM @ ATL	−125 to a fair close of −117	Loss	−3.12%	−1.00u
Jul 5, 1:05 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	CIN +1.5 (−170) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · BAL @ CIN	−170 to a fair close of −146	Win	−5.62%	+0.59u
Jul 4, 8:09 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	ATL ML −166 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · NYM @ ATL	−166 to a fair close of −175	Win	+1.93%	+0.60u
Jul 2, 7:16 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	ATL +1.5 (−184) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · STL @ ATL	−184 to a fair close of −176	Loss	−1.52%	−1.00u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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