Reddit · 5 graded picks

u/Scoop_45Unranked

First post Jul 2, 2026, latest Jul 11, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/scoop_45 (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

−1.15u

5 priced picks

ROI

−22.9%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

2-3-0

Win rate 40.0%

CLV

−7.08%

95% interval −10.17% to −3.48%

Beat fair close

0.0%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now −1.15u, peak +0.85u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
MLB	5	2-3-0	−22.9%	−7.08%	0.0%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Player props	2	0-2-0	−100.0%	−10.39%	0.0%	Unranked
Total	2	2-0-0	+92.6%	−4.06%	0.0%	Unranked
Team total	1	0-1-0	−100.0%	−6.50%	0.0%	Unranked

Graded picks

5 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/Scoop_45: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Jul 11, 2:11 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	J. Ryan over 7.5 Ks (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · LAA @ MIN	−125 to a fair close of +105	Loss	−12.02%	−1.00u
Jul 10, 7:11 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	CIN TT Over 4.5 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CHC @ CIN	+100 to a fair close of +114	Loss	−6.50%	−1.00u
Jul 5, 2:00 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	CHW/CLE Over 8.5 (−106) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CHW @ CLE	−106 to a fair close of +110	Win	−7.40%	+0.94u
Jul 3, 6:45 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	PIT/WSH Over 9.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · PIT @ WSH	−110 to a fair close of −108	Win	−0.71%	+0.91u
Jul 2, 12:36 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	A. Rangel over 4.5 Ks (+118) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · PIT @ PHI	+118 to a fair close of +139	Loss	−8.76%	−1.00u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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