Reddit · 3 graded picks

u/Sensitive-Speed-1298Unranked

First post Jul 16, 2026, latest Jul 20, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/sensitive-speed-1298 (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

−1.04u

3 priced picks

ROI

−34.6%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

1-2-0

Win rate 33.3%

CLV

+1.88%

95% interval −1.82% to +6.53%

Beat fair close

66.7%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now −1.04u, peak +0.96u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
MLB	3	1-2-0	−34.6%	+1.88%	66.7%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Moneyline	3	1-2-0	−34.6%	+1.88%	66.7%	Unranked

Graded picks

3 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/Sensitive-Speed-1298: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Jul 21, 7:16 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	ATL ML −144 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · SD @ ATL	−144 to a fair close of −138	Loss	−1.82%	−1.00u
Jul 18, 10:06 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	WSH ML +110 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · WSH @ ATH	+110 to a fair close of −103	Loss	+6.53%	−1.00u
Jul 17, 9:39 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	DET ML −104 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · DET @ LAA	−104 to a fair close of −106	Win	+0.92%	+0.96u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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