Reddit · 3 graded picks

u/Separate-Football461Unranked

First post Jul 23, 2026, latest Aug 31, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/separate-football461 (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

−1.25u

3 priced picks

ROI

−41.8%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

1-2-0

Win rate 33.3%

CLV

+2.33%

95% interval −4.17% to +11.51%

Beat fair close

33.3%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now −1.25u, peak +0.75u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
MLB	3	1-2-0	−41.8%	+2.33%	33.3%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Moneyline	3	1-2-0	−41.8%	+2.33%	33.3%	Unranked

Graded picks

3 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/Separate-Football461: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Aug 31, 6:05 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	ATL ML −145 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · SF @ ATL	−145 to a fair close of −194	Loss	+11.51%	−1.00u
Aug 30, 3:11 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	NYM ML −120 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · HOU @ NYM	−120 to a fair close of −119	Loss	−0.35%	−1.00u
Aug 29, 4:11 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	TB ML −134 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · SD @ TB	−134 to a fair close of −122	Win	−4.17%	+0.75u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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