The Hooded Sharp
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Reddit · 18 graded picks

u/TestTheLimitDFSUnranked

First post Jul 17, 2026, latest Aug 13, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Net units (1u flat)

−0.51u

18 priced picks

ROI

−2.9%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

10-8-0

Win rate 55.6%

CLV

−1.89%

95% interval −3.94% to +0.22%

Beat fair close

27.8%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

Open picks are for members

Records are free. Members see today's board: every pick, how many cappers are on it, and who.

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now −0.51u, peak +2.02u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
MLB1810-8-0−2.9%−1.89%27.8%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Moneyline159-6-0+3.6%−2.27%26.7%Unranked
Spread31-2-0−34.9%−0.01%33.3%Unranked

Graded picks

18 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/TestTheLimitDFS: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Aug 13, 10:08 PM ETReconstructedMLBTEX ML −157 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · TEX @ LAA−157 to a fair close of −138Loss−5.15%−1.00u
Aug 11, 9:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBTB ML −176 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · TB @ ATH−176 to a fair close of −182Win+1.29%+0.57u
Aug 10, 10:10 PM ETReconstructedMLBLAD −1.5 (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · KC @ LAD−130 to a fair close of −119Loss−3.84%−1.00u
Aug 9, 4:11 PM ETReconstructedMLBTB ML −108 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · TB @ SEA−108 to a fair close of +101Win−4.17%+0.93u
Aug 5, 2:36 PM ETReconstructedMLBTEX ML −169 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · SF @ TEX−169 to a fair close of −144Win−5.97%+0.59u
Aug 3, 7:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBMIL ML −147 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · PIT @ MIL−147 to a fair close of −138Loss−2.64%−1.00u
Aug 2, 1:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBCIN ML −145 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · PIT @ CIN−145 to a fair close of −127Win−5.58%+0.69u
Aug 1, 7:06 PM ETReconstructedMLBPHI ML −145 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · PHI @ BAL−145 to a fair close of −135Win−3.01%+0.69u
Jul 31, 7:11 PM ETReconstructedMLBTB ML −157 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CHW @ TB−157 to a fair close of −126Loss−8.69%−1.00u
Jul 28, 1:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBCIN ML −158 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CLE @ CIN−158 to a fair close of −151Loss−1.78%−1.00u
Jul 27, 6:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBPHI ML −165 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · PHI @ MIA−165 to a fair close of −181Loss+3.42%−1.00u
Jul 26, 7:21 PM ETReconstructedMLBPHI ML −162 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · NYY @ PHI−162 to a fair close of −200Win+7.76%+0.62u
Jul 25, 6:11 PM ETReconstructedMLBTB ML −135 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CLE @ TB−135 to a fair close of −107Win−10.03%+0.74u
Jul 24, 6:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBCHC ML +103 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CHC @ PIT+103 to a fair close of −102Win+2.48%+1.03u
Jul 23, 12:16 PM ETReconstructedMLBATL −1.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · SD @ ATL−105 to a fair close of −118Loss+5.71%−1.00u
Jul 22, 2:11 PM ETReconstructedMLBMIL ML −147 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · NYM @ MIL−147 to a fair close of −144Win−0.74%+0.68u
Jul 21, 7:16 PM ETReconstructedMLBATL ML −142 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · SD @ ATL−142 to a fair close of −138Loss−1.25%−1.00u
Jul 20, 7:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBMIL −1.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · NYM @ MIL−105 to a fair close of −101Win−1.91%+0.95u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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