u/trey2128Unranked

11 graded picks, first post Sep 4, 2026, latest Sep 28, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Units won, flat 1u

+0.36u

11 priced picks

ROI

+3.3%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

6-5-0

Win rate 54.5%

CLV

−3.03%

95% interval −7.26% to +3.05%

Beat the fair close

14.3%

Share of priced picks above the no-vig close

Cumulative units, flat 1u

Now +0.4u, peak +3.5u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
NCAAF64-2-0+25.7%+0.12%33.3%Unranked
NFL52-3-0−23.6%−5.39%0.0%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Player props85-3-0+20.1%−2.03%25.0%Unranked
Spread21-1-0−12.4%−4.66%0.0%Unranked
Total10-1-0−100.0%−3.74%0.0%Unranked

Graded picks

11 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

u/trey2128: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLPHI @ CHID. Swift over 75.5 rush+rec yds (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab)−105Winn/a+0.95u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLLAC @ BUFLAC/BUF Over 50.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab)−105 to a fair close of +103Loss−3.74%−1.00u
Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLPHI @ TENPHI −6.5 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab)−125 to a fair close of −109Loss−6.15%−1.00u
Fri Sep 18, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFMIA @ WAKED. Mensah over 299.5 pass yds (+130) (original post, opens in a new tab)+130Lossn/a−1.00u
Mon Sep 14, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLDEN @ KCT. Kelce over 40.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)−115 to a fair close of −101Win−5.90%+0.87u
Sun Sep 13, 4:25 PM ETReconstructedNFLARI @ LACO. Hampton over 69.5 rush yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab)−113 to a fair close of +100Loss−5.75%−1.00u
Sat Sep 12, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFNAVY @ FAUB. Woodson anytime TD (+135) (original post, opens in a new tab)+135Lossn/a−1.00u
Sat Sep 12, 12:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFORE @ OKSTD. Mestemaker over 216.5 pass yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)−115 to a fair close of +109Win−10.57%+0.87u
Fri Sep 11, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFRUTG @ BCK. Duff over 6.5 rec (+105) (original post, opens in a new tab)+105 to a fair close of −126Win+14.10%+1.05u
Sun Sep 6, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFWIS @ NDND −20.5 (−133) (original post, opens in a new tab)−133 to a fair close of −124Win−3.17%+0.75u
Fri Sep 4, 9:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFMIA @ STAND. Mensah over 234.5 pass yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)−115Winn/a+0.87u

All 11 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.