The Hooded Sharp

Reddit · 11 graded picks

u/UgglaPujolsUnranked

First post Jul 2, 2026, latest Aug 20, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Net units (1u flat)

+0.36u

11 priced picks

ROI

+3.3%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

6-5-0

Win rate 54.5%

CLV

−2.61%

95% interval −6.18% to +0.71%

Beat fair close

18.2%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

Open picks are for members

Records are free. Members see today's board: every pick, how many cappers are on it, and who.

Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now +0.36u, peak +2.62u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
MLB105-5-0−6.4%−1.38%20.0%Unranked
MMA11-0-0+100.0%−15.00%0.0%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Moneyline86-2-0+42.0%−3.75%0.0%Unranked
Spread30-3-0−100.0%+0.40%66.7%Unranked

Graded picks

11 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/UgglaPujols: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Aug 20, 8:11 PM ETReconstructedMLBHOU ML −176 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · LAA @ HOU−176 to a fair close of −174Loss−0.36%−1.00u
Aug 19, 6:40 PM ETReconstructedMLBCIN ML −128 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · STL @ CIN−128 to a fair close of −127Win−0.29%+0.78u
Aug 16, 1:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBCHW ML −105 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CHW @ DET−105 to a fair close of +108Win−6.13%+0.95u
Aug 8, 6:46 PM ETReconstructedMLBCIN ML −140 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CIN @ WSH−140 to a fair close of −124Loss−5.06%−1.00u
Jul 31, 7:11 PM ETReconstructedMLBTB −1 (−104) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CHW @ TB−104 to a fair close of +117Loss−9.41%−1.00u
Jul 23, 12:16 PM ETReconstructedMLBATL −1.5 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · SD @ ATL+100 to a fair close of −118Loss+8.28%−1.00u
Jul 22, 6:40 PM ETReconstructedMLBLAD ML −120 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · LAD @ PHI−120 to a fair close of −118Win−0.93%+0.83u
Jul 18, 7:40 PM ETReconstructedMMAJ. Delgado ML +100 (original post, opens in a new tab)MMA · A. Bashi vs J. Delgado+100 to a fair close of +135Win−15.00%+1.00u
Jul 17, 9:39 PM ETReconstructedMLBDET ML −106 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · DET @ LAA−106 to a fair close of −106Win−0.01%+0.94u
Jul 7, 2:16 PM ETReconstructedMLBMIL −1.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · MIL @ STL−110 to a fair close of −116Loss+2.34%−1.00u
Jul 2, 7:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBTB ML −118 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · TB @ KC−118 to a fair close of −113Win−2.18%+0.85u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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