VPenguinLosing to the close
688 graded picks, first post Dec 29, 2025, latest Aug 1, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
+69.07u
688 priced picks
ROI
+10.0%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
307-381-0
Win rate 44.6%
CLV
−0.74%
95% interval −1.31% to −0.16%
Beat the fair close
47.5%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soccer | 189 | 81-108-0 | +24.3% | −3.48% | 29.1% | Losing to the close |
| Basketball | 124 | 55-69-0 | −2.3% | +0.46% | 52.4% | Not yet |
| NBA | 78 | 41-37-0 | +13.2% | −0.04% | 50.0% | Not yet |
| LoL | 75 | 30-45-0 | +14.8% | −0.25% | 57.3% | Not yet |
| Serie A | 22 | 7-15-0 | −23.0% | +0.56% | 63.6% | Not yet |
| CoD | 17 | 10-7-0 | −3.8% | −6.75% | 23.5% | Unranked |
| CS2 | 15 | 11-4-0 | +66.2% | +4.54% | 60.0% | Unranked |
| Bundesliga | 13 | 6-7-0 | +24.5% | +1.42% | 76.9% | Unranked |
| Cricket | 13 | 4-9-0 | −32.4% | +3.08% | 76.9% | Unranked |
| NHL | 13 | 5-8-0 | −24.5% | +0.90% | 53.8% | Unranked |
| La Liga | 12 | 5-7-0 | +13.5% | −0.94% | 58.3% | Unranked |
| NFL | 11 | 8-3-0 | +8.4% | +0.64% | 54.5% | Unranked |
| Premier League | 11 | 8-3-0 | +77.4% | +0.09% | 45.5% | Unranked |
| Champions League | 9 | 4-5-0 | +34.7% | −0.26% | 55.6% | Unranked |
| Concacaf Nations League | 9 | 3-6-0 | −29.2% | −0.47% | 66.7% | Unranked |
| Dota 2 | 8 | 3-5-0 | −25.1% | +2.85% | 75.0% | Unranked |
| Ligue 1 | 8 | 3-5-0 | −12.4% | −0.73% | 25.0% | Unranked |
| Saudi Professional League | 7 | 4-3-0 | +65.6% | +0.99% | 57.1% | Unranked |
| Baseball | 6 | 0-6-0 | −100.0% | +5.44% | 66.7% | Unranked |
| Tennis | 6 | 0-6-0 | −100.0% | +3.27% | 66.7% | Unranked |
| Europa League | 5 | 1-4-0 | −53.4% | −0.25% | 40.0% | Unranked |
| Hockey | 5 | 2-3-0 | +9.6% | +2.95% | 60.0% | Unranked |
| Scottish Premiership | 5 | 2-3-0 | −30.6% | −0.74% | 40.0% | Unranked |
| WNBA | 5 | 4-1-0 | +84.0% | −1.41% | 20.0% | Unranked |
| Europa Conference League | 3 | 2-1-0 | +104.3% | +2.83% | 66.7% | Unranked |
| Fa Cup | 3 | 1-2-0 | +85.2% | −0.40% | 66.7% | Unranked |
| Spanish Super Cup | 3 | 1-2-0 | −56.1% | −0.59% | 33.3% | Unranked |
| UFC | 3 | 1-2-0 | −25.9% | −3.66% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Australian A League | 2 | 1-1-0 | −3.9% | +3.40% | 100.0% | Unranked |
| Efl Championship | 2 | 1-1-0 | −2.0% | +1.25% | 100.0% | Unranked |
| NCAAF | 2 | 0-2-0 | −100.0% | +2.12% | 100.0% | Unranked |
| Serie B | 2 | 2-0-0 | +102.0% | +1.57% | 100.0% | Unranked |
| La Liga 2 | 1 | 1-0-0 | +92.3% | −2.88% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| MLB | 1 | 0-1-0 | −100.0% | +1.09% | 100.0% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 455 | 211-244-0 | +11.3% | +0.21% | 52.5% | Not yet |
| Other | 91 | 35-56-0 | +6.1% | −4.36% | 27.5% | Losing to the close |
| Total | 78 | 31-47-0 | −8.7% | −0.33% | 43.6% | Not yet |
| Spread | 64 | 30-34-0 | +29.5% | −2.83% | 45.3% | Losing to the close |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Aug 1, 10:10 AM ETReconstructed | EsportsAstralis vs MOUZ | CS2: Astralis map 1 at 39¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 39¢ to a fair close of 40.5¢ | Win | +3.85% | +1.56u |
| Sat Aug 1, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed | MMAS. Luciano vs M. Spasic | M. Spasic ML at 24.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 24.6¢ to a fair close of 23.5¢ | Loss | −4.65% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 1, 5:00 AM ETReconstructed | EsportsLGD vs TES | LoL: Top Esports −1.5 games at 47¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 47¢ to a fair close of 47.5¢ | Loss | +1.06% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 1, 4:00 AM ETReconstructed | EsportsNongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX | LoL: Nongshim Red Force game 1 at 47.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 47.8¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢ | Win | +3.60% | +1.09u |
| Sat Aug 1, 3:00 AM ETReconstructed | EsportsAL vs TT | LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming +1.5 games at 39.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 39.9¢ to a fair close of 40.5¢ | Loss | +1.61% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jul 31, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | EsportsMovistar KOI vs Shifters | LoL: Movistar KOI game 1 at 69¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 69¢ to a fair close of 69.5¢ | Loss | +0.72% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jul 19, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSpain vs Argentina | Lionel Messi: 2+ assists: Yes at 7.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 7.5¢ to a fair close of 9¢ | Loss | +19.84% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jul 19, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSpain vs Argentina | L. Messi 2+ goals: Yes at 9.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 9.4¢ to a fair close of 8.5¢ | Loss | −9.67% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jul 19, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSpain vs Argentina | Argentina 2nd Half TT Over 1.5 at 17.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 17.2¢ to a fair close of 14¢ | Loss | −18.66% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jul 19, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSpain vs Argentina | Argentina TT Over 2.5 at 10.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 10.4¢ to a fair close of 9.5¢ | Loss | −9.09% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jul 19, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSpain vs Argentina | Argentina TT Over 1.5 at 30¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 30¢ to a fair close of 31.5¢ | Loss | +4.90% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jul 19, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSpain vs Argentina | Argentina to score first vs. Spain: Yes at 39.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 39.2¢ to a fair close of 38.5¢ | Loss | −1.73% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jul 19, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSpain vs Argentina | Spain/Argentina Over 3.5 at 24.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 24.1¢ to a fair close of 23.9¢ | Loss | −1.11% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jul 19, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSpain vs Argentina | Argentina −2.5 at 2.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 2.6¢ to a fair close of 2.1¢ | Loss | −20.42% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jul 19, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSpain vs Argentina | Argentina −1.5 at 9.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 9.1¢ to a fair close of 8.6¢ | Loss | −5.73% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jul 19, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSpain vs Argentina | Argentina ML at 27.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 27.2¢ to a fair close of 25.6¢ | Loss | −5.85% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 18, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerFrance vs England | J. Bellingham 1+ goals: Yes at 25.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 25.9¢ to a fair close of 11.5¢ | Win | −55.66% | +2.86u |
| Sat Jul 18, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerFrance vs England | J. Bellingham 2+ goals: Yes at 4.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 4.2¢ to a fair close of 2.6¢ | Loss | −37.39% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 18, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerFrance vs England | England TT Over 2.5 at 16.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 16.7¢ to a fair close of 13.5¢ | Win | −19.03% | +5.00u |
| Sat Jul 18, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerFrance vs England | England to score first vs. France: Yes at 36.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 36.1¢ to a fair close of 34¢ | Win | −5.91% | +1.77u |
| Sat Jul 18, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerFrance vs England | France/England Over 3.5 at 46.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 46.2¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢ | Win | −3.76% | +1.16u |
| Sat Jul 18, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerFrance vs England | England −2.5 at 3.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 3.3¢ to a fair close of 2.2¢ | Loss | −31.71% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 18, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerFrance vs England | England −1.5 at 10.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 10.4¢ to a fair close of 8.5¢ | Win | −18.66% | +8.57u |
| Sat Jul 18, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerFrance vs England | England ML at 24.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 24.9¢ to a fair close of 21.5¢ | Win | −13.70% | +3.01u |
| Wed Jul 15, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerEngland vs Argentina | Lionel Messi: 1+ assists: Yes at 23.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 23.9¢ to a fair close of 23.5¢ | Win | −1.61% | +3.19u |
| Wed Jul 15, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerEngland vs Argentina | Argentina 2nd Half TT Over 1.5 at 18.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 18.1¢ to a fair close of 15.5¢ | Win | −14.50% | +4.52u |
| Wed Jul 15, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerEngland vs Argentina | 1st Half TT Over 1.5 at 27¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 27¢ to a fair close of 25.5¢ | Loss | −5.42% | −1.00u |
| Wed Jul 15, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerEngland vs Argentina | Argentina leading at halftime: Yes at 27¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 27¢ to a fair close of 24.5¢ | Loss | −9.13% | −1.00u |
| Wed Jul 15, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerEngland vs Argentina | L. Messi 2+ goals: Yes at 10.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 10.1¢ to a fair close of 9.3¢ | Loss | −7.77% | −1.00u |
| Wed Jul 15, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerEngland vs Argentina | Argentina TT Over 2.5 at 10.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 10.4¢ to a fair close of 8.5¢ | Loss | −18.66% | −1.00u |
| Wed Jul 15, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerEngland vs Argentina | Argentina TT Over 1.5 at 32.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 32.1¢ to a fair close of 30.5¢ | Win | −4.89% | +2.12u |
| Wed Jul 15, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerEngland vs Argentina | England/Argentina Over 3.5 at 22.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 22.1¢ to a fair close of 20.4¢ | Loss | −7.75% | −1.00u |
| Wed Jul 15, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerEngland vs Argentina | Argentina −1.5 at 12.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 12.8¢ to a fair close of 11.6¢ | Loss | −9.06% | −1.00u |
| Wed Jul 15, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerEngland vs Argentina | Argentina ML at 32.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 32.8¢ to a fair close of 31.4¢ | Win | −4.44% | +2.05u |
| Tue Jul 14, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerFrance vs Spain | L. Yamal 2+ goals: Yes at 4.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 4.8¢ to a fair close of 4.8¢ | Loss | −1.44% | −1.00u |
| Tue Jul 14, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerFrance vs Spain | Spain TT Over 2.5 at 13.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 13.6¢ to a fair close of 13¢ | Loss | −4.17% | −1.00u |
| Tue Jul 14, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerFrance vs Spain | Spain TT Over 1.5 at 38.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 38.2¢ to a fair close of 36.5¢ | Win | −4.36% | +1.62u |
| Tue Jul 14, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerFrance vs Spain | Spain ML at 31.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 31.3¢ to a fair close of 30.6¢ | Win | −2.17% | +2.19u |
| Tue Jul 14, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerFrance vs Spain | France/Spain Over 3.5 at 30.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 30.5¢ to a fair close of 29.6¢ | Loss | −3.00% | −1.00u |
| Tue Jul 14, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerFrance vs Spain | Spain −1.5 at 12.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 12.6¢ to a fair close of 12.4¢ | Win | −2.03% | +6.92u |
| Sat Jul 11, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerArgentina vs Switzerland | L. Messi 3+ goals: Yes at 5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 5¢ to a fair close of 4.4¢ | Loss | −12.54% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 11, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerArgentina vs Switzerland | L. Messi 2+ goals: Yes at 16.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 16.7¢ to a fair close of 15.5¢ | Loss | −7.03% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 11, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerArgentina vs Switzerland | Argentina TT Over 2.5 at 22.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 22.9¢ to a fair close of 21¢ | Loss | −8.13% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 11, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerArgentina vs Switzerland | Argentina −3.5 at 5.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 5.1¢ to a fair close of 3.1¢ | Loss | −39.09% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 11, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerArgentina vs Switzerland | Argentina −2.5 at 13.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 13.1¢ to a fair close of 10.9¢ | Loss | −16.75% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 11, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerArgentina vs Switzerland | Argentina −1.5 at 31.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 31.6¢ to a fair close of 29.4¢ | Loss | −6.92% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 11, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerNorway vs England | Norway −2.5 at 2.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 2.2¢ to a fair close of 1.8¢ | Loss | −21.96% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 11, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerNorway vs England | E. Haaland 2+ goals: Yes at 13.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 13.6¢ to a fair close of 12.5¢ | Loss | −7.85% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 11, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerNorway vs England | Norway TT Over 2.5 at 10.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 10.4¢ to a fair close of 9.5¢ | Loss | −9.09% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jul 11, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerNorway vs England | Norway TT Over 1.5 at 36.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 36.1¢ to a fair close of 31.5¢ | Loss | −12.83% | −1.00u |
All 688 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.