WightyLosing to the close
556 graded picks, first post Nov 12, 2025, latest Sep 10, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
−20.72u
556 priced picks
ROI
−3.7%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
283-271-2
Win rate 51.1%
CLV
−3.40%
95% interval −3.99% to −2.81%
Beat the fair close
24.0%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NBA | 299 | 157-141-1 | −0.5% | −4.01% | 24.2% | Losing to the close |
| MLB | 257 | 126-130-1 | −7.4% | −2.68% | 23.7% | Losing to the close |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | 168 | 82-85-1 | −6.4% | −4.14% | 20.8% | Losing to the close |
| Moneyline | 146 | 75-71-0 | −3.5% | −2.43% | 22.6% | Losing to the close |
| Player props | 131 | 71-60-0 | +0.4% | −4.30% | 23.8% | Losing to the close |
| Total | 108 | 53-54-1 | −6.0% | −2.31% | 31.5% | Losing to the close |
| Team total | 3 | 2-1-0 | +35.0% | −8.88% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Sep 10, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPIT @ CHW | CHW ML −108 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −108 to a fair close of −109 | Loss | +0.44% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 10, 7:05 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCOL @ NYY | NYY −1.5 (−132) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −132 to a fair close of −119 | Win | −4.47% | +0.76u |
| Thu Sep 10, 4:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTEX @ SEA | TEX ML +108 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +108 to a fair close of +108 | Loss | 0.00% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 8, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBHOU @ PHI | PHI ML −142 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −142 to a fair close of −124 | Loss | −5.61% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 8, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYM @ MIA | NYM ML +108 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +108 to a fair close of +102 | Win | +2.99% | +1.08u |
| Tue Sep 8, 6:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCLE @ BAL | CLE ML +104 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +104 to a fair close of +108 | Win | −2.15% | +1.04u |
| Mon Sep 7, 10:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ ATH | TOR F5 −0.5 (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −135 to a fair close of −114 | Loss | −7.10% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 7, 2:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHC @ MIL | CHC/MIL Over 8.5 (−107) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −107 to a fair close of +104 | Loss | −5.12% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 7, 1:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYM @ MIA | MIA ML −118 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −124 | Loss | +2.32% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 4, 8:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSTL @ COL | STL ML −130 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −115 | Win | −5.54% | +0.77u |
| Fri Sep 4, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATL @ PHI | ATL/PHI F5 Under 3.5 (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −136 | Loss | +1.95% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 4, 2:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBDET @ CLE | CLE ML −134 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −134 to a fair close of −116 | Win | −6.39% | +0.75u |
| Thu Sep 3, 9:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATH @ SEA | SEA −1.5 (+106) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +106 to a fair close of +114 | Loss | −3.52% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 3, 7:15 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ CHC | MIL ML −116 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −116 to a fair close of −115 | Loss | −0.58% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 3, 1:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ CLE | CLE ML −108 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −108 to a fair close of +102 | Loss | −4.64% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 1, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIA @ KC | KC ML −120 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −103 | Loss | −7.00% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 1, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ CLE | TOR/CLE Over 7.5 (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 to a fair close of −114 | Loss | −3.14% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 1, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSD @ CIN | SD ML −136 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −136 to a fair close of −126 | Loss | −3.20% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 31, 8:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATH @ TEX | TEX −1.5 (+105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +105 to a fair close of +110 | Win | −2.60% | +1.05u |
| Mon Aug 31, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ CHC | MIL/CHC Under 9.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of −109 | Loss | −1.09% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 31, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYM @ TB | NYM/TB Over 8 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +101 | Loss | −0.65% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 29, 3:08 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSEA @ TOR | SEA/TOR Under 7.5 (−106) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −106 to a fair close of +102 | Win | −3.76% | +0.94u |
| Sat Aug 29, 2:21 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCIN @ CHC | CIN/CHC Over 9 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of −115 | Win | +6.96% | +1.00u |
| Fri Aug 28, 8:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHW @ MIN | CHW/MIN Over 8.5 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −108 to a fair close of −110 | Win | +0.77% | +0.93u |
| Fri Aug 28, 7:16 PM ETReconstructed | MLBBOS @ NYY | NYY ML −150 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −150 to a fair close of −142 | Win | −2.11% | +0.67u |
| Tue Aug 25, 9:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBPIT @ SD | SD ML −116 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −116 to a fair close of −124 | Loss | +3.13% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 25, 9:38 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCLE @ LAA | CLE/LAA Under 7.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −142 | Loss | +11.99% | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 25, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTB @ DET | TB ML −125 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −121 | Loss | −1.41% | −1.00u |
| Mon Aug 24, 9:39 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCLE @ LAA | CLE F5 −0.5 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −108 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −3.92% | +0.93u |
| Mon Aug 24, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTB @ DET | TB F5 −0.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of +114 | Win | −11.73% | +0.89u |
| Sun Aug 23, 7:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATL @ MIL | MIL ML −120 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −105 | Loss | −5.90% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 23, 4:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHC @ SEA | CHC ML −106 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −106 to a fair close of −117 | Win | +4.81% | +0.94u |
| Sun Aug 23, 2:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBDET @ KC | KC ML +100 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +105 | Win | −2.42% | +1.00u |
| Sat Aug 22, 8:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIN @ SD | SD ML −130 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −130 | Win | −0.10% | +0.77u |
| Sat Aug 22, 8:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCLE @ COL | CLE/COL Over 11 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +105 | Loss | −4.71% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 22, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYM @ CHW | NYM ML +105 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +105 to a fair close of −101 | Win | +3.00% | +1.05u |
| Fri Aug 21, 10:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCHC @ SEA | CHC ML −106 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −106 to a fair close of +103 | Loss | −4.24% | −1.00u |
| Fri Aug 21, 8:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBCLE @ COL | CLE F5 −0.5 (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 to a fair close of +105 | Win | −11.06% | +0.82u |
| Fri Aug 21, 4:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBATL @ MIL | MIL ML −142 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −142 to a fair close of −132 | Win | −2.97% | +0.70u |
| Thu Aug 20, 6:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBNYY @ BAL | NYY ML −118 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −101 | Win | −7.18% | +0.85u |
| Thu Aug 20, 2:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSEA @ MIL | SEA ML +120 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +120 to a fair close of +128 | Loss | −3.58% | −1.00u |
| Thu Aug 20, 1:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ TB | TOR/TB Under 7.5 (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 to a fair close of −120 | Win | −0.80% | +0.82u |
| Wed Aug 19, 8:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAD @ COL | LAD/COL Over 11.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +107 | Loss | −7.74% | −1.00u |
| Wed Aug 19, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSTL @ CIN | CIN ML −132 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −132 to a fair close of −127 | Win | −1.61% | +0.76u |
| Wed Aug 19, 12:36 PM ETReconstructed | MLBDET @ PIT | DET/PIT Under 8 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −108 to a fair close of +110 | Win | −8.18% | +0.93u |
| Tue Aug 18, 8:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBLAD @ COL | LAD/COL Over 11.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +103 | Win | −7.86% | +0.87u |
| Tue Aug 18, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSEA @ MIL | MIL ML −142 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −142 to a fair close of −160 | Win | +4.76% | +0.70u |
| Tue Aug 18, 6:41 PM ETReconstructed | MLBTOR @ TB | TOR/TB Under 7.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −103 | Loss | −3.18% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 15, 7:15 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIL @ LAD | MIL ML −126 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −126 to a fair close of −116 | Win | −3.65% | +0.79u |
| Sat Aug 15, 7:11 PM ETReconstructed | MLBSD @ CLE | SD ML +106 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +106 to a fair close of +104 | Loss | +1.00% | −1.00u |
All 556 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.