The Hooded Sharp
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Reddit · 16 graded picks

u/winterbear26Unranked

First post Jul 17, 2026, latest Sep 13, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Net units (1u flat)

−0.64u

16 priced picks

ROI

−4.0%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

9-7-0

Win rate 56.3%

CLV

−0.92%

95% interval −4.96% to +3.20%

Beat fair close

37.5%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

Open picks are for members

Records are free. Members see today's board: every pick, how many cappers are on it, and who.

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now −0.64u, peak +2.31u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
MLB116-5-0−10.2%−1.26%36.4%Unranked
WNBA42-2-0−4.5%−4.44%25.0%Unranked
Soccer11-0-0+65.8%+16.94%100.0%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Moneyline95-4-0−7.7%−1.67%33.3%Unranked
Total43-1-0+36.9%+4.19%50.0%Unranked
Player props20-2-0−100.0%−2.62%50.0%Unranked
Spread11-0-0+57.1%−11.12%0.0%Unranked

Graded picks

16 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/winterbear26: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Sep 14, 2:45 PM ETReconstructedSoccerUdinese/Inter Milan Over 2.5 (−152) (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Inter Milan vs Udinese−152 to a fair close of −239Win+16.94%+0.66u
Aug 29, 4:11 PM ETReconstructedMLBTB ML −131 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · SD @ TB−131 to a fair close of −122Win−3.23%+0.76u
Aug 28, 7:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBMIL ML −139 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · TEX @ MIL−139 to a fair close of −201Win+14.76%+0.72u
Aug 27, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBAGS/NY Under 162.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · GS @ NY−110 to a fair close of −104Win−2.77%+0.91u
Aug 25, 7:11 PM ETReconstructedMLBMIL ML −164 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · MIL @ NYM−164 to a fair close of −151Loss−3.17%−1.00u
Aug 21, 10:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBAPOR ML −233 (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · POR @ TOR−233 to a fair close of −136Loss−17.57%−1.00u
Aug 19, 1:11 PM ETReconstructedMLBSD ML −123 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · SD @ NYM−123 to a fair close of −131Loss+2.72%−1.00u
Aug 18, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBAIND/TOR Under 192.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · IND @ TOR−110 to a fair close of −122Loss+4.91%−1.00u
Aug 17, 6:05 PM ETReconstructedMLBB. Young over 3.5 Ks (−127) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · BAL @ TB−127 to a fair close of −134Loss+2.29%−1.00u
Aug 14, 7:11 PM ETReconstructedMLBG. Williams over 6.5 Ks (−167) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · SD @ CLE−167 to a fair close of −137Loss−7.54%−1.00u
Aug 13, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedWNBALA/NY Under 187.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · LA @ NY−110 to a fair close of −105Win−2.33%+0.91u
Aug 12, 3:06 PM ETReconstructedMLBTB −1.5 (−175) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · TB @ ATH−175 to a fair close of −130Win−11.12%+0.57u
Aug 11, 9:41 PM ETReconstructedMLBTB ML −164 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · TB @ ATH−164 to a fair close of −182Win+3.97%+0.61u
Aug 5, 3:11 PM ETReconstructedMLBTB ML −161 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · TB @ COL−161 to a fair close of −144Win−4.23%+0.62u
Jul 30, 12:11 PM ETReconstructedMLBTB ML −168 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · TEX @ TB−168 to a fair close of −167Win−0.31%+0.60u
Jul 21, 7:16 PM ETReconstructedMLBATL ML −170 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · SD @ ATL−170 to a fair close of −138Loss−7.97%−1.00u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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