Reddit · 5 graded picks

u/Working_Deal9639Unranked

First post Jul 29, 2026, latest Aug 10, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/working_deal9639 (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

−2.69u

5 priced picks

ROI

−53.8%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

1-4-0

Win rate 20.0%

CLV

−6.30%

95% interval −8.97% to −3.54%

Beat fair close

0.0%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now −2.69u, peak 0.00u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
MLB	5	1-4-0	−53.8%	−6.30%	0.0%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Moneyline	4	1-3-0	−42.3%	−5.96%	0.0%	Unranked
Player props	1	0-1-0	−100.0%	−7.65%	0.0%	Unranked

Graded picks

5 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/Working_Deal9639: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Aug 10, 7:46 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	STL ML −112 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · PHI @ STL	−112 to a fair close of +113	Loss	−10.94%	−1.00u
Aug 5, 2:21 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	LAD ML +104 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · LAD @ CHC	+104 to a fair close of +109	Loss	−2.39%	−1.00u
Aug 4, 7:41 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	KC ML +131 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · MIN @ KC	+131 to a fair close of +138	Win	−2.85%	+1.31u
Aug 1, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	KC ML +100 (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · KC @ COL	+100 to a fair close of +117	Loss	−7.65%	−1.00u
Jul 31, 7:08 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	D. Cease over 7.5 Ks (−124) (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · STL @ TOR	−124 to a fair close of −105	Loss	−7.65%	−1.00u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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