xabidakingLosing to the close
88 graded picks, first post Jul 14, 2026, latest Sep 29, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
+23.92u
88 priced picks
ROI
+27.2%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
55-33-0
Win rate 62.5%
CLV
−4.03%
95% interval −4.94% to −3.04%
Beat the fair close
10.2%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennis | 60 | 41-19-0 | +22.2% | −3.40% | 13.3% | Losing to the close |
| Soccer | 19 | 9-10-0 | +33.1% | −5.28% | 5.3% | Unranked |
| Premier League | 7 | 3-4-0 | +13.9% | −5.27% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| La Liga | 2 | 2-0-0 | +167.3% | −6.71% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | 67 | 46-21-0 | +37.4% | −3.27% | 13.4% | Losing to the close |
| Other | 11 | 4-7-0 | −40.3% | −7.05% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Spread | 10 | 5-5-0 | +33.2% | −5.79% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Oct 1, 1:30 AM ETReconstructed | TennisJ. Lehecka vs Z. Bergs | J. Lehecka ML at 73¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 73¢ to a fair close of 87¢ | Win | +19.14% | +0.37u |
| Tue Sep 29, 5:10 AM ETReconstructed | TennisB. Harris vs F. Balshaw | F. Balshaw ML at 60.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 60.6¢ to a fair close of 60.5¢ | Win | −0.18% | +0.65u |
| Mon Sep 28, 11:05 PM ETReconstructed | TennisT. Machac vs A. Gea | A. Gea ML at 58.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 58.2¢ to a fair close of 59.5¢ | Win | +2.19% | +0.72u |
| Mon Sep 28, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSWE vs POL | Sweden ML at 50.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 50.2¢ to a fair close of 45.5¢ | Win | −9.45% | +0.99u |
| Mon Sep 28, 4:30 AM ETReconstructed | TennisA. Vallejo vs T. Daniel | A. Vallejo ML at 50.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 50.4¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢ | Win | −7.81% | +0.98u |
| Sun Sep 27, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | TennisA. Barrena vs F. Mena | A. Barrena ML at 50.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 50.6¢ to a fair close of 47.5¢ | Win | −6.12% | +0.98u |
| Sat Sep 26, 3:45 PM ETReconstructed | TennisJ. Aguilar vs A. Barrena | A. Barrena ML at 36.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 36.8¢ to a fair close of 36¢ | Win | −2.25% | +1.72u |
| Sat Sep 26, 5:15 AM ETReconstructed | TennisV. Vacherot vs L. Harris | V. Vacherot ML at 54.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 54.2¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢ | Loss | −14.22% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 25, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | TennisD. Dietrich vs H. Searle | D. Dietrich ML at 66.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 66.9¢ to a fair close of 64.5¢ | Win | −3.62% | +0.49u |
| Thu Sep 24, 2:05 PM ETReconstructed | TennisC. Alberto Caniato vs T. Gentzsch | C. Alberto Caniato ML at 48.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 48.8¢ to a fair close of 47.5¢ | Win | −2.57% | +1.05u |
| Thu Sep 24, 1:50 PM ETReconstructed | TennisF. Coria vs E. Ribeiro | E. Ribeiro ML at 58.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 58.2¢ to a fair close of 50.5¢ | Win | −13.27% | +0.72u |
| Thu Sep 24, 11:05 AM ETReconstructed | TennisF. Roncadelli vs P. Boscardin Dias | P. Boscardin Dias ML at 52.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 52.8¢ to a fair close of 48.5¢ | Win | −8.21% | +0.89u |
| Thu Sep 24, 3:30 AM ETReconstructed | TennisF. Cina vs C. Ugo Carabelli | C. Ugo Carabelli ML at 46.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 46.3¢ to a fair close of 43¢ | Loss | −7.22% | −1.00u |
| Thu Sep 24, 3:10 AM ETReconstructed | TennisT. Griekspoor vs D. Shapovalov | T. Griekspoor ML at 44.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 44.2¢ to a fair close of 42.5¢ | Loss | −3.90% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 22, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | TennisT. Zink vs F. Agustin Gomez | F. Agustin Gomez ML at 57.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 57.2¢ to a fair close of 55.5¢ | Win | −3.03% | +0.75u |
| Tue Sep 22, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed | TennisN. Budkov Kjaer vs B. Harris | N. Budkov Kjaer ML at 64.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 64.2¢ to a fair close of 62.5¢ | Loss | −2.60% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 21, 10:05 AM ETReconstructed | TennisK. Quevedo vs N. Podoroska | K. Quevedo ML at 57.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 57.1¢ to a fair close of 55.5¢ | Win | −2.87% | +0.75u |
| Sat Sep 19, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | TennisM. Mmoh vs J. Wolf | J. Wolf ML at 59.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 59.2¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢ | Loss | −2.90% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 19, 12:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerNOT vs COV | Nottm Forest −1.5 at 35.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 35.1¢ to a fair close of 33.5¢ | Loss | −4.60% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 19, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerBRI vs ARS | Arsenal −1.5 at 33.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 33.6¢ to a fair close of 32.5¢ | Loss | −3.32% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 18, 1:05 PM ETReconstructed | TennisB. Gojo vs T. Droguet | T. Droguet ML at 58.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 58.1¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢ | Win | −1.00% | +0.72u |
| Mon Sep 14, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerLEE vs NEW | Newcastle −1.5 at 14.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 14.6¢ to a fair close of 13.5¢ | Loss | −7.55% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 14, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerLEE vs NEW | Newcastle ML at 33.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 33.1¢ to a fair close of 31.5¢ | Loss | −4.80% | −1.00u |
| Mon Sep 14, 4:00 AM ETReconstructed | TennisA. Binda vs K. Ogura | A. Binda ML at 71.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 71.8¢ to a fair close of 70¢ | Win | −2.56% | +0.39u |
| Sun Sep 13, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerRSO vs MAD | Atlético ML at 47.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 47.2¢ to a fair close of 45.5¢ | Win | −3.69% | +1.12u |
| Sun Sep 13, 11:30 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerMan United vs Man City | Man City ML at 45.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 45.2¢ to a fair close of 43.5¢ | Win | −3.83% | +1.21u |
| Sun Sep 13, 9:00 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerCoventry vs Brighton | Brighton −1.5 at 29.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 29.3¢ to a fair close of 27.5¢ | Win | −6.28% | +2.41u |
| Sat Sep 12, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSUN vs ARS | Arsenal −1.5 at 34.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 34.1¢ to a fair close of 31.5¢ | Win | −7.64% | +1.93u |
| Sat Sep 12, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerBOU vs BRE | Bournemouth/Brentford draw: Yes at 28¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 28¢ to a fair close of 27.5¢ | Win | −1.73% | +2.57u |
| Fri Sep 11, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | TennisTiafoe vs Shelton | Set 1 Winner: Tiafoe vs Shelton: Shelton at 65.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 65.2¢ to a fair close of 63¢ | Loss | −3.30% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 9, 3:10 PM ETReconstructed | TennisD. Ajdukovic vs S. Sakellaridis | D. Ajdukovic ML at 32.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 32.2¢ to a fair close of 29.5¢ | Loss | −8.49% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 9, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerNAP vs ARS | Arsenal −1.5 at 34.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 34.1¢ to a fair close of 31.5¢ | Loss | −7.64% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 9, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed | TennisU. Blanchet vs D. Rincon | D. Rincon ML at 45.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 45.2¢ to a fair close of 41.5¢ | Loss | −8.25% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 8, 11:00 PM ETReconstructed | TennisB. Shelton vs C. Alcaraz | B. Shelton ML at 23.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 23.9¢ to a fair close of 23.5¢ | Win | −1.61% | +3.19u |
| Mon Sep 7, 9:15 PM ETReconstructed | TennisA. Zverev vs L. Darderi | L. Darderi ML at 12.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 12.5¢ to a fair close of 11.5¢ | Loss | −8.21% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 6, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | TennisB. Shelton vs S. Tsitsipas | S. Tsitsipas ML at 29¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 29¢ to a fair close of 27.5¢ | Loss | −5.20% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 6, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerJUV vs MIL | Juventus/Milan draw: Yes at 32.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 32.1¢ to a fair close of 30.5¢ | Win | −4.89% | +2.12u |
| Sun Sep 6, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerOLM vs PFC | Marseille/Paris FC draw: Yes at 27¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 27¢ to a fair close of 25.5¢ | Loss | −5.42% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 6, 11:30 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerArsenal vs Chelsea | Arsenal −1.5 at 34.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 34.1¢ to a fair close of 32.5¢ | Loss | −4.71% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 6, 10:15 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerValencia vs Barcelona | Barcelona −1.5 at 61.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 61.1¢ to a fair close of 58.5¢ | Win | −4.28% | +0.64u |
| Sun Aug 30, 9:00 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerLEE vs BRE | Brentford ML at 39.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 39.2¢ to a fair close of 37.5¢ | Loss | −4.28% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 29, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | TennisA. Mayo vs A. Andrade | A. Andrade ML at 61.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 61.5¢ to a fair close of 59.5¢ | Loss | −3.25% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 29, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSevilla vs Atlético | Atlético −1.5 at 27¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 27¢ to a fair close of 24.5¢ | Win | −9.13% | +2.71u |
| Sat Aug 29, 12:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSpurs vs Newcastle | Spurs/Newcastle draw: Yes at 28¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 28¢ to a fair close of 26.5¢ | Loss | −5.31% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 29, 7:30 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerLiverpool vs Nottm Forest | Liverpool/Nottm Forest draw: Yes at 20.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 20.8¢ to a fair close of 19.5¢ | Win | −6.25% | +3.81u |
| Fri Aug 28, 11:05 AM ETReconstructed | TennisL. Harris vs P. Llamas Ruiz | L. Harris ML at 64.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 64.7¢ to a fair close of 62.5¢ | Win | −3.44% | +0.55u |
| Thu Aug 27, 11:10 AM ETReconstructed | TennisCretu vs Moeller | Set 1 Winner: Cretu vs Moeller: Moeller at 59.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 59.4¢ to a fair close of 50.5¢ | Loss | −14.94% | −1.00u |
| Wed Aug 26, 7:05 PM ETReconstructed | TennisKym vs Smith | Set 1 Winner: Kym vs Smith: Kym at 66.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 66.5¢ to a fair close of 62¢ | Loss | −6.83% | −1.00u |
| Wed Aug 26, 2:10 PM ETReconstructed | TennisZandschulp vs Darderi | Set 1 Winner: Zandschulp vs Darderi: Zandschulp at 60.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 60.7¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢ | Win | −5.30% | +0.65u |
| Tue Aug 25, 8:25 AM ETReconstructed | TennisR. Perot vs M. Brunold | M. Brunold ML at 68.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab) | 68.3¢ to a fair close of 66.5¢ | Win | −2.67% | +0.46u |
All 88 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.