Polymarket · 819 graded picks

BreakTheBankSharp

First post Jan 22, 2026, latest Oct 6, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

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Graded picks

819 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

BreakTheBank: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Jun 17, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Ghana −1.5 at 18¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Ghana vs Panama	18¢ to a fair close of 18.5¢	Loss	+2.78%	−1.00u
Jun 17, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Ghana/Panama Over 2.5 at 39.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Ghana vs Panama	39.6¢ to a fair close of 41.5¢	Loss	+4.86%	−1.00u
Jun 17, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Panama to win: No at 70¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Ghana vs Panama	70¢ to a fair close of 70.5¢	Win	+0.71%	+0.43u
Jun 17, 4:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	England/Croatia Under 2.5 at 53.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · England vs Croatia	53.3¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢	Loss	−1.55%	−1.00u
Jun 17, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Portugal/DR Congo Under 3.5 at 68¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Portugal vs DR Congo	68¢ to a fair close of 68.5¢	Win	+0.74%	+0.47u
Jun 17, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Portugal/DR Congo draw: Yes at 16¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Portugal vs DR Congo	16¢ to a fair close of 16.5¢	Win	+3.12%	+5.25u
Jun 17, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Portugal/DR Congo Under 1.5 at 22¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Portugal vs DR Congo	22¢ to a fair close of 22.5¢	Loss	+2.14%	−1.00u
Jun 17, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Portugal/DR Congo Under 2.5 at 45.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Portugal vs DR Congo	45.5¢ to a fair close of 45.5¢	Win	−0.08%	+1.20u
Jun 17, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Portugal to win: No at 23.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Portugal vs DR Congo	23.5¢ to a fair close of 23.5¢	Win	−0.03%	+3.25u
Jun 17, 12:00 AM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Austria/Jordan Under 2.5 at 49¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Austria vs Jordan	49¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢	Loss	+1.02%	−1.00u
Jun 17, 12:00 AM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Jordan to win: No at 88¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Austria vs Jordan	88¢ to a fair close of 89.5¢	Win	+1.70%	+0.14u
Jun 16, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Argentina/Algeria draw: Yes at 22¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · ARG vs ALG	22¢ to a fair close of 23.5¢	Loss	+6.82%	−1.00u
Jun 16, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Argentina ML at 65.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · ARG vs ALG	65.5¢ to a fair close of 63.5¢	Win	−3.07%	+0.53u
Jun 16, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Iraq/Norway Over 5.5 at 10.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Iraq vs Norway	10.2¢ to a fair close of 10.5¢	Loss	+3.11%	−1.00u
Jun 16, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Norway −1.5 at 59¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Iraq vs Norway	59¢ to a fair close of 59.5¢	Win	+0.85%	+0.69u
Jun 16, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Norway −3.5 at 19¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Iraq vs Norway	19¢ to a fair close of 19.5¢	Loss	+2.76%	−1.00u
Jun 16, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Iraq/Norway Over 2.5 at 60.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Iraq vs Norway	60.5¢ to a fair close of 60.5¢	Win	−0.05%	+0.65u
Jun 16, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Norway −2.5 at 35.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Iraq vs Norway	35.1¢ to a fair close of 35.5¢	Win	+1.08%	+1.85u
Jun 16, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Senegal to win: No at 86¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · France vs Senegal	86¢ to a fair close of 86.5¢	Win	+0.58%	+0.16u
Jun 16, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	France to win: No at 32.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · France vs Senegal	32.8¢ to a fair close of 34.5¢	Loss	+5.19%	−1.00u
Jun 15, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	IR Iran to win: No at 46¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · IR Iran vs New Zealand	46¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢	Win	+7.61%	+1.17u
Jun 15, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Uruguay ML at 64.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay	64.5¢ to a fair close of 63.5¢	Loss	−1.52%	−1.00u
Jun 15, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Saudi Arabia/Uruguay draw: No at 77¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay	77¢ to a fair close of 76.5¢	Loss	−0.65%	−1.00u
Jun 15, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Saudi Arabia to win: No at 88¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay	88¢ to a fair close of 87.5¢	Win	−0.57%	+0.14u
Jun 15, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Belgium to win: No at 37.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Belgium vs Egypt	37.5¢ to a fair close of 33.5¢	Win	−10.72%	+1.67u
Jun 14, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Sweden/Tunisia draw: Yes at 27¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · SWE vs TUN	27¢ to a fair close of 28.5¢	Loss	+5.56%	−1.00u
Jun 14, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Sweden ML at 51.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · SWE vs TUN	51.8¢ to a fair close of 50.5¢	Win	−2.48%	+0.93u
Jun 14, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Côte d'Ivoire/Ecuador draw: Yes at 33¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Côte d'Ivoire vs Ecuador	33¢ to a fair close of 33.5¢	Loss	+1.52%	−1.00u
Jun 14, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Ecuador to win: No at 62¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Côte d'Ivoire vs Ecuador	62¢ to a fair close of 62.5¢	Win	+0.81%	+0.61u
Jun 14, 4:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Japan to win: No at 73¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · NLD vs JPN	73¢ to a fair close of 75.5¢	Win	+3.42%	+0.37u
Jun 13, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Haiti to win: No at 84¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Haiti vs Scotland	84¢ to a fair close of 83.5¢	Win	−0.60%	+0.19u
Jun 13, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Brazil/Morocco draw: No at 74¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Brazil vs Morocco	74¢ to a fair close of 73.5¢	Loss	−0.68%	−1.00u
Jun 13, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Morocco to win: No at 82.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Brazil vs Morocco	82.4¢ to a fair close of 83.5¢	Win	+1.31%	+0.21u
Jun 13, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Brazil to win: No at 41¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Brazil vs Morocco	41¢ to a fair close of 41.5¢	Win	+1.22%	+1.44u
Jun 13, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Qatar ML at 4.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Qatar vs Switzerland	4.5¢ to a fair close of 5.5¢	Loss	+21.11%	−1.00u
Jun 12, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Paraguay +2.5 at 91¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · USA vs PAR	91¢ to a fair close of 92.5¢	Loss	+1.65%	−1.00u
Jun 12, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Paraguay +1.5 at 77¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · USA vs PAR	77¢ to a fair close of 77.5¢	Loss	+0.65%	−1.00u
Jun 12, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	United States to win: No at 53¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · USA vs PAR	53¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢	Loss	−0.94%	−1.00u
Jun 12, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Bosnia and Herzegovina to win: No at 80¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina	80¢ to a fair close of 80.5¢	Win	+0.63%	+0.25u
Jun 12, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Canada to win: No at 46¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Canada vs Bosnia and Herzegovina	46¢ to a fair close of 47.5¢	Win	+3.26%	+1.17u
Jun 11, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Korea Republic/Czechia Over 2.5 at 42¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Korea Republic vs Czechia	42¢ to a fair close of 42.5¢	Win	+1.19%	+1.38u
Jun 11, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Korea Republic ML at 37¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Korea Republic vs Czechia	37¢ to a fair close of 36.5¢	Win	−1.35%	+1.70u
Jun 11, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Czechia ML at 31¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Korea Republic vs Czechia	31¢ to a fair close of 31.5¢	Loss	+1.61%	−1.00u
Jun 11, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	PIT +2.5 at 59¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · LAD @ PIT	59¢ to a fair close of 59.5¢	Win	+0.85%	+0.69u
Jun 11, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	PIT ML at 37.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · LAD @ PIT	37.1¢ to a fair close of 37.5¢	Loss	+1.18%	−1.00u
Jun 11, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	PIT +1.5 at 48.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · LAD @ PIT	48.3¢ to a fair close of 47.5¢	Loss	−1.72%	−1.00u
Jun 11, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Mexico/South Africa Over 2.5 at 41¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Mexico vs South Africa	41¢ to a fair close of 41.5¢	Loss	+1.22%	−1.00u
Jun 11, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	South Africa +2.5 at 81¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Mexico vs South Africa	81¢ to a fair close of 81.5¢	Win	+0.62%	+0.23u
Jun 11, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	South Africa to win: No at 89¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Mexico vs South Africa	89¢ to a fair close of 89.5¢	Win	+0.56%	+0.12u
Jun 11, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Mexico to win: No at 31¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Mexico vs South Africa	31¢ to a fair close of 31.5¢	Loss	+1.61%	−1.00u

Picks 701 to 750 of 819.

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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