Polymarket · 819 graded picks

BreakTheBankSharp

First post Jan 22, 2026, latest Oct 6, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

BreakTheBank (opens in a new tab)

Graded picks

819 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

BreakTheBank: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Jun 10, 8:30 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	NY ML at 54¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · SA @ NY	54¢ to a fair close of 54.5¢	Win	+0.93%	+0.85u
Jun 10, 8:30 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	NY +2.5 at 59¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · SA @ NY	59¢ to a fair close of 59.5¢	Win	+0.85%	+0.69u
Jun 10, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	ATL −1.5 at 44¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · ATL @ CWS	44¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢	Loss	+1.14%	−1.00u
May 20, 8:30 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	SA +5.5 at 46¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · SA @ OKC	46¢ to a fair close of 40.5¢	Loss	−11.96%	−1.00u
May 20, 8:30 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	SA +6.5 at 50¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · SA @ OKC	50¢ to a fair close of 45.5¢	Loss	−9.00%	−1.00u
May 19, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	PHI ML at 56¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CIN @ PHI	56¢ to a fair close of 56.5¢	Loss	+0.89%	−1.00u
May 19, 4:10 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	MIA ML at 44¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · ATL @ MIA	44¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢	Loss	+1.14%	−1.00u
May 19, 4:10 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	MIA +2.5 at 66¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · ATL @ MIA	66¢ to a fair close of 65.5¢	Loss	−0.76%	−1.00u
May 17, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	DET −4.5 at 49¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · CLE @ DET	49¢ to a fair close of 48.5¢	Loss	−1.02%	−1.00u
May 17, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	DET −3.5 at 53¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · CLE @ DET	53¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢	Loss	−0.94%	−1.00u
May 17, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	ATH ML at 57¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · SF @ ATH	57¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢	Loss	+0.88%	−1.00u
May 15, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	MIN ML at 50¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · MIL @ MIN	50¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢	Loss	−0.94%	−1.00u
May 14, 7:15 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	ATL ML at 37¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · CHC @ ATL	37¢ to a fair close of 63.5¢	Loss	+71.62%	−1.00u
May 14, 1:40 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	SD ML at 43¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · SD @ MIL	43¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢	Loss	+3.49%	−1.00u
Feb 12, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	DAL +7.5 at 55¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · DAL @ LAL	55¢ to a fair close of 56.5¢	Loss	+2.73%	−1.00u
Feb 12, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	DAL ML at 31¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · DAL @ LAL	31¢ to a fair close of 31.5¢	Loss	+1.61%	−1.00u
Feb 7, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	CLE −13.5 at 47¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · CLE @ SAC	47¢ to a fair close of 47.5¢	Loss	+1.06%	−1.00u
Feb 7, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	CLE −12.5 at 51¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · CLE @ SAC	51¢ to a fair close of 51¢	Loss	0.00%	−1.00u
Feb 7, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	MEM +8.5 at 47¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · MEM @ POR	47¢ to a fair close of 47¢	Win	0.00%	+1.13u
Feb 7, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	MEM +9.5 at 51¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · MEM @ POR	51¢ to a fair close of 51¢	Win	0.00%	+0.96u
Feb 7, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	CLE ML at 84¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · CLE @ SAC	84¢ to a fair close of 83.5¢	Win	−0.60%	+0.19u
Feb 7, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	PHX ML at 54¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · PHI @ PHX	54¢ to a fair close of 55.5¢	Loss	+2.78%	−1.00u
Feb 5, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	GS ML at 34¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · GS @ PHX	34¢ to a fair close of 34.5¢	Win	+1.47%	+1.94u
Feb 5, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	GS +6.5 at 53.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · GS @ PHX	53.2¢ to a fair close of 53.5¢	Win	+0.49%	+0.88u
Feb 5, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	GS +5.5 at 49.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · GS @ PHX	49.2¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢	Win	+0.70%	+1.03u
Feb 5, 8:30 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	DAL +7.5 at 49¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · SA @ DAL	49¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢	Loss	+1.02%	−1.00u
Feb 5, 8:30 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	DAL +8.5 at 53¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · SA @ DAL	53¢ to a fair close of 55¢	Loss	+3.77%	−1.00u
Feb 5, 8:30 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	DAL ML at 27¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · SA @ DAL	27¢ to a fair close of 27.5¢	Loss	+1.85%	−1.00u
Feb 5, 8:30 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	DAL +6.5 at 44¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · SA @ DAL	44¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢	Loss	+5.68%	−1.00u
Feb 5, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	CHI +8.5 at 55¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · CHI @ TOR	55¢ to a fair close of 55.5¢	Loss	+0.91%	−1.00u
Feb 5, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	CHI +7.5 at 51¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · CHI @ TOR	51¢ to a fair close of 50.5¢	Loss	−0.98%	−1.00u
Feb 4, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	MEM ML at 49.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · MEM @ SAC	49.8¢ to a fair close of 43.5¢	Win	−12.59%	+1.01u
Feb 3, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	BKN ML at 22.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · LAL @ BKN	22.7¢ to a fair close of 25.5¢	Loss	+12.16%	−1.00u
Jan 28, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	MEM +2.5 at 51¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · CHA @ MEM	51¢ to a fair close of 51.5¢	Loss	+0.98%	−1.00u
Jan 28, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	MEM +1.5 at 47¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · CHA @ MEM	47¢ to a fair close of 47.5¢	Loss	+1.06%	−1.00u
Jan 28, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	MEM ML at 45¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · CHA @ MEM	45¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢	Loss	−1.11%	−1.00u
Jan 28, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	TOR ML at 53¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · NY @ TOR	53¢ to a fair close of 54.5¢	Loss	+2.83%	−1.00u
Jan 28, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	TOR −2.5 at 46¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · NY @ TOR	46¢ to a fair close of 47.5¢	Loss	+3.26%	−1.00u
Jan 27, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	BKN +9.5 at 56¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · BKN @ PHX	56¢ to a fair close of 56.5¢	Win	+0.89%	+0.79u
Jan 27, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	BKN ML at 26¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · BKN @ PHX	26¢ to a fair close of 26.5¢	Loss	+1.92%	−1.00u
Jan 27, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	BKN +8.5 at 51.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · BKN @ PHX	51.7¢ to a fair close of 53.5¢	Win	+3.43%	+0.93u
Jan 27, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	MIL ML at 23¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · MIL @ PHI	23¢ to a fair close of 23.5¢	Loss	+2.17%	−1.00u
Jan 27, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	MIL +10.5 at 52.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · MIL @ PHI	52.3¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢	Loss	+0.35%	−1.00u
Jan 26, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	CHI +1.5 at 49.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · LAL @ CHI	49.9¢ to a fair close of 50.5¢	Loss	+1.18%	−1.00u
Jan 26, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	CHI ML at 47¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · LAL @ CHI	47¢ to a fair close of 47.5¢	Loss	+1.06%	−1.00u
Jan 26, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	ORL +6.5 at 56¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · ORL @ CLE	56¢ to a fair close of 56.5¢	Loss	+0.89%	−1.00u
Jan 26, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	ORL +5.5 at 50¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · ORL @ CLE	50¢ to a fair close of 51.5¢	Loss	+3.00%	−1.00u
Jan 26, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	ORL +4.5 at 46.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · ORL @ CLE	46.1¢ to a fair close of 48¢	Loss	+4.08%	−1.00u
Jan 26, 1:30 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	IND +4.5 at 46.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · IND @ ATL	46.4¢ to a fair close of 47.5¢	Loss	+2.42%	−1.00u
Jan 26, 1:30 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	IND ML at 34¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · IND @ ATL	34¢ to a fair close of 35.5¢	Loss	+4.41%	−1.00u

Picks 751 to 800 of 819.

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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