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Polymarket · 819 graded picks

BreakTheBankSharp

First post Jan 22, 2026, latest Oct 6, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Graded picks

819 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

BreakTheBank: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Jan 25, 9:00 PM ETReconstructedNBABKN +8.5 at 43¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · BKN @ LAC43¢ to a fair close of 43¢Loss0.00%−1.00u
Jan 25, 9:00 PM ETReconstructedNBABKN +10.5 at 50.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · BKN @ LAC50.1¢ to a fair close of 50.5¢Loss+0.85%−1.00u
Jan 25, 9:00 PM ETReconstructedNBABKN +9.5 at 47.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · BKN @ LAC47.1¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢Loss−1.32%−1.00u
Jan 25, 9:00 PM ETReconstructedNBABKN ML at 23¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · BKN @ LAC23¢ to a fair close of 20.5¢Loss−10.92%−1.00u
Jan 25, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNBATOR +11.5 at 52¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · TOR @ OKC52¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢Win+0.96%+0.92u
Jan 25, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNBATOR +10.5 at 48¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · TOR @ OKC48¢ to a fair close of 48¢Win0.00%+1.08u
Jan 25, 5:30 PM ETReconstructedNBAGS ML at 36¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · GS @ MIN36¢ to a fair close of 35.5¢Win−1.39%+1.78u
Jan 24, 9:30 PM ETReconstructedNBAMIA ML at 69¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · MIA @ UTAH69¢ to a fair close of 69.5¢Win+0.72%+0.45u
Jan 24, 8:30 PM ETReconstructedNBADAL +3.5 at 48¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · LAL @ DAL48¢ to a fair close of 48.5¢Loss+1.04%−1.00u
Jan 24, 8:30 PM ETReconstructedNBADAL ML at 39¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · LAL @ DAL39¢ to a fair close of 39.5¢Loss+1.28%−1.00u
Jan 23, 9:30 PM ETReconstructedNBADEN ML at 29.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · DEN @ MIL29.4¢ to a fair close of 27.5¢Win−6.47%+2.40u
Jan 23, 9:30 PM ETReconstructedNBADEN +5.5 at 46¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · DEN @ MIL46¢ to a fair close of 40¢Win−13.04%+1.17u
Jan 23, 9:30 PM ETReconstructedNBADEN +6.5 at 47.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · DEN @ MIL47.3¢ to a fair close of 43¢Win−9.01%+1.12u
Jan 23, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNBAHOU ML at 36¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · HOU @ DET36¢ to a fair close of 38.5¢Win+6.94%+1.78u
Jan 22, 10:00 PM ETReconstructedNBALAC ML at 55¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · LAL @ LAC55¢ to a fair close of 56.5¢Win+2.73%+0.82u
Jan 22, 10:00 PM ETReconstructedNBALAC −2.5 at 49¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · LAL @ LAC49¢ to a fair close of 51.5¢Win+5.10%+1.04u
Jan 22, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedNBACHI +10.5 at 55¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · CHI @ MIN55¢ to a fair close of 55.5¢Win+0.91%+0.82u
Jan 22, 8:00 PM ETReconstructedNBACHI +9.5 at 51¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · CHI @ MIN51¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢Win+2.94%+0.96u
Jan 22, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNBAHOU ML at 54.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · HOU @ PHI54.5¢ to a fair close of 54.5¢Loss0.00%−1.00u

Picks 801 to 819 of 819.

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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