@bucketjonbetsLosing to the close
34 graded picks, first post Aug 2, 2026, latest Sep 26, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
Units won, flat 1u
+12.36u
34 priced picks
ROI
+36.3%
Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks
Record
23-11-0
Win rate 67.6%
CLV
−3.88%
95% interval −6.03% to −1.02%
Beat the fair close
17.6%
Share of priced picks above the no-vig close
Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.
| Sport | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Soccer | 34 | 23-11-0 | +36.3% | −3.88% | 17.6% | Losing to the close |
| Market | Picks | Record | ROI | CLV | Beat fair close | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team total | 31 | 21-10-0 | +37.7% | −4.90% | 16.1% | Losing to the close |
| Total | 2 | 1-1-0 | −4.5% | +10.37% | 50.0% | Unranked |
| Moneyline | 1 | 1-0-0 | +76.9% | −0.59% | 0.0% | Unranked |
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Sep 26, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerPhiladelphia vs Orlando | Philadelphia TT Over 2.5 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +120 | Win | −9.17% | +1.00u |
| Sat Sep 26, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerCF Montréal vs Cincinnati | Cincinnati TT Over 1.5 (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −119 | Loss | −3.97% | −1.00u |
| Sun Sep 20, 1:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerPaderborn vs Hoffenheim | Hoffenheim/Paderborn Under 3.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −106 | Loss | −5.69% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerNew England vs Orlando | Orlando TT Over 1.5 (+120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +120 to a fair close of +123 | Win | −1.32% | +1.20u |
| Sat Sep 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerD.C. United vs Charlotte | Charlotte TT Over 1.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +111 | Win | −9.57% | +0.91u |
| Sat Sep 19, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerVenezia vs Lazio | Lazio TT Over 1.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −102 | Win | −5.68% | +0.87u |
| Sat Sep 19, 9:30 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerFrankfurt vs Freiburg | Freiburg TT Over 1.5 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +105 | Win | −2.40% | +1.00u |
| Sat Sep 19, 9:30 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerGladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 | FSV Mainz 05 TT Over 1.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −112 | Win | −3.32% | +0.83u |
| Fri Sep 18, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerBrentford vs Chelsea | Brentford TT Over 1.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +103 | Win | −6.12% | +0.91u |
| Mon Sep 14, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerLeeds vs Newcastle | Leeds TT Over 1.5 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +117 | Win | −7.67% | +1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerCincinnati vs Charlotte | Charlotte TT Over 1.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −106 | Win | −1.90% | +0.91u |
| Sat Sep 12, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerMiami vs Nashville | Nashville TT Over 1.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +117 | Win | −11.91% | +0.91u |
| Sat Sep 12, 11:15 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerStrasbourg vs Monaco | Monaco TT Over 1.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −104 | Loss | −6.59% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 11:15 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerStrasbourg vs Monaco | Strasbourg TT Over 1.5 (+110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 to a fair close of +139 | Loss | −12.17% | −1.00u |
| Sat Sep 12, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerAston Villa vs Nottm Forest | Aston Villa TT Over 1.5 (+110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 to a fair close of +132 | Loss | −9.43% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 11, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerSevilla vs Valencia | Sevilla TT Over 1.5 (+120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +120 to a fair close of +118 | Loss | +0.73% | −1.00u |
| Fri Sep 11, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerVenezia vs Fiorentina | Fiorentina TT Over 1.5 (+110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 to a fair close of +119 | Win | −4.23% | +1.10u |
| Thu Sep 10, 12:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerFenerbahce vs AS Roma | AS Roma TT Over 1.5 (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −132 | Loss | +0.65% | −1.00u |
| Wed Sep 9, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerNapoli vs Arsenal | Arsenal TT Over 1.5 (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −114 | Loss | −4.30% | −1.00u |
| Tue Sep 8, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerDortmund vs Villarreal | Dortmund TT Over 2.5 (+180) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +180 to a fair close of +214 | Win | −10.94% | +1.80u |
| Tue Sep 8, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerDortmund vs Villarreal | Dortmund ML −130 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −128 | Win | −0.59% | +0.77u |
| Fri Sep 4, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerGenoa vs Como | Como TT Over 1.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −107 | Win | −1.53% | +0.91u |
| Sun Aug 30, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerColumbus vs New England | New England TT Over 1.5 (+130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +130 to a fair close of +155 | Win | −9.73% | +1.30u |
| Sun Aug 30, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerColumbus vs New England | Columbus TT Over 1.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +109 | Loss | −6.61% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 29, 11:00 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerLevante vs Betis | Betis TT Over 1.5 (+120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +120 to a fair close of +131 | Win | −4.71% | +1.20u |
| Mon Aug 24, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerFulham vs Chelsea | Chelsea TT Over 1.5 (+105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +105 to a fair close of +114 | Win | −4.05% | +1.05u |
| Sun Aug 23, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerRennes vs PSG | PSG/Rennes Over 2.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −196 | Win | +26.44% | +0.91u |
| Sat Aug 22, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerOrlando vs Salt Lake | Salt Lake TT Over 1.5 (+125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +125 to a fair close of +153 | Loss | −10.98% | −1.00u |
| Sat Aug 22, 12:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerBrentford vs Spurs | Brentford TT Over 1.5 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of −104 | Win | +2.14% | +1.00u |
| Sat Aug 22, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerEverton vs C Palace | Everton TT Over 1.5 (+110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 to a fair close of +142 | Win | −13.36% | +1.10u |
| Wed Aug 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerPhiladelphia vs Miami | Miami TT Over 1.5 (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −132 | Win | +0.65% | +0.77u |
| Wed Aug 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerRed Bull NY vs Nashville | Nashville TT Over 1.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −103 | Loss | −5.02% | −1.00u |
| Sun Aug 16, 11:00 AM ETReconstructed | SoccerRacing vs Villarreal | Villarreal TT Over 1.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −141 | Win | +11.58% | +0.91u |
| Sat Aug 15, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | SoccerCharlotte vs Columbus | Charlotte TT Over 1.5 (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +102 | Win | −1.08% | +1.00u |
All 34 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.