Reddit · 5 graded picks

u/dawidjamaUnranked

First post Aug 28, 2026, latest Sep 18, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/dawidjama (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

−0.33u

5 priced picks

ROI

−6.6%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

2-3-0

Win rate 40.0%

CLV

−6.44%

95% interval −13.68% to +0.87%

Beat fair close

20.0%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now −0.33u, peak +1.67u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Soccer	5	2-3-0	−6.6%	−6.44%	20.0%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Moneyline	3	1-2-0	−15.0%	−5.23%	33.3%	Unranked
Total	2	1-1-0	+6.0%	−8.25%	0.0%	Unranked

Graded picks

5 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/dawidjama: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Sep 18, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Sassuolo/Monza Under 2.5 (+105) (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Monza vs Sassuolo	+105 to a fair close of +123	Loss	−8.24%	−1.00u
Sep 12, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Lazio ML +240 (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Lazio vs Milan	+240 to a fair close of +319	Loss	−18.77%	−1.00u
Sep 11, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Fiorentina ML +155 (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Venezia vs Fiorentina	+155 to a fair close of +165	Win	−3.85%	+1.55u
Aug 30, 12:30 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Napoli ML +166 (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Napoli vs Como	+166 to a fair close of +149	Loss	+6.94%	−1.00u
Aug 28, 2:45 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Venezia/Milan Under 2.5 (+112) (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Milan vs Venezia	+112 to a fair close of +131	Win	−8.27%	+1.12u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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