u/Ecstatic-Dog-9873Unranked

9 graded picks, first post Aug 11, 2026, latest Sep 19, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Units won, flat 1u

+6.19u

9 priced picks

ROI

+68.8%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

6-3-0

Win rate 66.7%

CLV

−5.78%

95% interval −10.53% to −0.86%

Beat the fair close

33.3%

Share of priced picks above the no-vig close

Cumulative units, flat 1u

Now +6.2u, peak +6.2u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Soccer96-3-0+68.8%−5.78%33.3%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Moneyline53-2-0+59.4%−3.41%60.0%Unranked
Total43-1-0+80.5%−8.75%0.0%Unranked

Graded picks

9 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

u/Ecstatic-Dog-9873: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Sun Sep 20, 9:00 AM ETReconstructedSoccerMan City vs SunderlandSunderland/Man City Over 3.5 (+150) (original post, opens in a new tab)+150 to a fair close of +184Win−11.90%+1.50u
Sat Sep 19, 2:45 PM ETReconstructedSoccerLyon vs RennesRennes/Lyon Over 3.5 (+137) (original post, opens in a new tab)+137 to a fair close of +157Win−7.83%+1.37u
Sun Sep 13, 9:00 AM ETReconstructedSoccerLecce vs MonzaMonza/Lecce Over 2.5 (+135) (original post, opens in a new tab)+135 to a fair close of +142Win−3.05%+1.35u
Sat Sep 12, 9:30 AM ETReconstructedSoccerHoffenheim vs StuttgartStuttgart ML +165 (original post, opens in a new tab)+165 to a fair close of +217Loss−16.53%−1.00u
Thu Sep 10, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerSlavia Praha vs LensLens ML +165 (original post, opens in a new tab)+165 to a fair close of +161Win+1.38%+1.65u
Wed Sep 9, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerD.C. United vs ColumbusD.C. United ML +177 (original post, opens in a new tab)+177 to a fair close of +167Win+3.83%+1.77u
Tue Sep 8, 12:45 PM ETReconstructedSoccerClub Brugge vs Aston VillaClub Brugge ML +177 (original post, opens in a new tab)+177 to a fair close of +162Loss+5.53%−1.00u
Mon Sep 7, 2:45 PM ETReconstructedSoccerUdinese vs LazioLazio ML +155 (original post, opens in a new tab)+155 to a fair close of +187Win−11.26%+1.55u
Sat Aug 29, 9:30 AM ETReconstructedSoccerRB Leipzig vs GladbachGladbach/RB Leipzig Under 2.5 (+160) (original post, opens in a new tab)+160 to a fair close of +196Loss−12.24%−1.00u

All 9 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.