esportsbetter1Not yet

250 graded picks, first post May 28, 2026, latest Sep 30, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Units won, flat 1u

+10.51u

250 priced picks

ROI

+4.2%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

125-125-0

Win rate 50.0%

CLV

+0.08%

95% interval −1.10% to +1.28%

Beat the fair close

52.8%

Share of priced picks above the no-vig close

Cumulative units, flat 1u

Now +10.5u, peak +10.7u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Valorant18189-92-0+5.6%+0.49%58.0%Not yet
NCAAF2616-10-0+13.5%−0.97%34.6%Not yet
NFL2114-7-0+27.1%−0.78%47.6%Not yet
Soccer71-6-0−58.0%−1.95%42.9%Unranked
MLB51-4-0−60.6%−2.10%20.0%Unranked
UFC52-3-0−15.0%+0.78%60.0%Unranked
NBA31-2-0−30.2%−0.88%33.3%Unranked
Baseball21-1-0−3.9%−1.95%0.0%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Moneyline19796-101-0+3.1%+0.48%57.9%Not yet
Spread2817-11-0+16.5%−1.31%39.3%Not yet
Other167-9-0−6.5%−1.76%25.0%Unranked
Total95-4-0+8.1%−0.90%33.3%Unranked

Graded picks

250 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

esportsbetter1: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Wed Sep 30, 8:00 AM ETReconstructedEsports100T vs FUTValorant: 100 Thieves −1.5 maps at 47.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)47.3¢ to a fair close of 37¢Win−21.77%+1.11u
Wed Sep 30, 5:00 AM ETReconstructedEsportsTeam Vitality vs LOUDValorant: LOUD at 55¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)55¢ to a fair close of 53.5¢Loss−2.73%−1.00u
Tue Sep 29, 5:00 AM ETReconstructedEsportsG2 Esports vs Paper RexValorant: Paper Rex at 56¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)56¢ to a fair close of 55.5¢Win−0.89%+0.79u
Mon Sep 28, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLPHI @ CHICHI +3.5 at 53¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)53¢ to a fair close of 52¢Win−1.89%+0.89u
Sun Sep 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructedNFLLAR @ DENDEN ML at 50¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)50¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢Win−1.00%+1.00u
Sun Sep 27, 4:05 PM ETReconstructedNFLMIN @ TBTB +1.5 at 52¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)52¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢Loss+0.96%−1.00u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLLAC @ BUFLAC +7.5 at 53¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)53¢ to a fair close of 53.5¢Loss+0.94%−1.00u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLHOU @ INDHOU ML at 53.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)53.3¢ to a fair close of 51.5¢Loss−3.44%−1.00u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLCAR @ CLECLE +2.5 at 52¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)52¢ to a fair close of 51.5¢Win−0.96%+0.92u
Sun Sep 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLNE @ JAXJAX −2.5 at 54¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)54¢ to a fair close of 54.5¢Win+0.93%+0.85u
Sun Sep 27, 7:40 AM ETReconstructedEsportsJD Gaming vs FUT EsportsValorant: JD Gaming at 26.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)26.5¢ to a fair close of 20.5¢Loss−22.69%−1.00u
Sun Sep 27, 5:00 AM ETReconstructedEsports100 Thieves vs T1Valorant: 100 Thieves at 67.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)67.7¢ to a fair close of 67.5¢Win−0.32%+0.48u
Sun Sep 27, 5:00 AM ETReconstructedEsports100 Thieves vs T1Valorant: 100 Thieves −1.5 maps at 41.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)41.3¢ to a fair close of 40.5¢Win−1.91%+1.42u
Sat Sep 26, 9:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFUMASS @ SACSTSAC +4.5 at 51¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)51¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢Loss−8.82%−1.00u
Sat Sep 26, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFTROY @ USUUSU ML at 57¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)57¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢Win+0.88%+0.75u
Sat Sep 26, 4:15 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFVAN @ AUBAUB −9.5 at 51¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)51¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢Loss+2.94%−1.00u
Sat Sep 26, 3:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFMISS @ FLAMISS/FLA Over 58.5 at 53¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)53¢ to a fair close of 52¢Win−1.89%+0.89u
Sat Sep 26, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedMMAI. Akylbek Uulu vs M. OsmanliM. Osmanli ML at 73.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)73.5¢ to a fair close of 73.5¢Loss−0.01%−1.00u
Sat Sep 26, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedMMAR. Barcelos vs R. Rosas Jr.R. Barcelos ML at 43.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)43.2¢ to a fair close of 43.5¢Loss+0.65%−1.00u
Sat Sep 26, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedMMAE. Brener vs J. HarrellE. Brener ML at 45.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)45.2¢ to a fair close of 47.5¢Win+5.01%+1.21u
Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFBALL @ KENTKENT ML at 58¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)58¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢Win−0.86%+0.72u
Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFVT @ BCVT −13.5 at 53¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)53¢ to a fair close of 56.5¢Loss+6.60%−1.00u
Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFWAKE @ LOULOU −13.5 at 50¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)50¢ to a fair close of 43.5¢Loss−13.00%−1.00u
Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFTX @ TENNTENN +5.5 at 51¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)51¢ to a fair close of 50.5¢Win−0.98%+0.96u
Sat Sep 26, 12:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFSHSU @ TTUSHSU/TTU Under 56.5 at 52.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)52.9¢ to a fair close of 51.5¢Loss−2.57%−1.00u
Sat Sep 26, 5:00 AM ETReconstructedEsportsGlobal Esports vs Team VitalityValorant: Team Vitality at 54¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)54¢ to a fair close of 55.5¢Win+2.80%+0.85u
Fri Sep 25, 7:30 AM ETReconstructedEsportsKC3 vs XLGValorant: Karmine Corp −1.5 maps at 55.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)55.4¢ to a fair close of 54.5¢Win−1.57%+0.81u
Fri Sep 25, 5:00 AM ETReconstructedEsportsNongshim RedForce vs NRGValorant: Nongshim RedForce at 51.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)51.8¢ to a fair close of 48.5¢Loss−6.28%−1.00u
Thu Sep 24, 8:15 PM ETReconstructedNFLATL @ GBATL +5.5 at 52¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)52¢ to a fair close of 51.5¢Win−0.96%+0.92u
Thu Sep 24, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFLIB @ CCULIB ML at 55¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)55¢ to a fair close of 56.5¢Win+2.73%+0.82u
Thu Sep 24, 8:30 AM ETReconstructedEsportsTYLOO vs G2 EsportsValorant: TYLOO at 32.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)32.5¢ to a fair close of 34¢Loss+4.55%−1.00u
Thu Sep 24, 5:00 AM ETReconstructedEsportsTeam Liquid vs Paper RexValorant: Paper Rex at 57.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)57.3¢ to a fair close of 56.5¢Win−1.37%+0.75u
Sun Sep 20, 8:20 PM ETReconstructedNFLIND @ KCIND +6.5 at 52.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)52.9¢ to a fair close of 53.5¢Win+1.15%+0.89u
Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructedNFLSEA @ ARIARI +4.5 at 54¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)54¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢Loss−2.78%−1.00u
Sun Sep 20, 4:25 PM ETReconstructedNFLWSH @ DALDAL −3.5 at 52¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)52¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢Win+0.96%+0.92u
Sun Sep 20, 4:05 PM ETReconstructedNFLJAX @ DENDEN −2.5 at 52¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)52¢ to a fair close of 51.5¢Win−0.96%+0.92u
Sun Sep 20, 4:05 PM ETReconstructedNFLJAX @ DENJAX/DEN Over 45.5 at 50¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)50¢ to a fair close of 50.5¢Loss+1.00%−1.00u
Sun Sep 20, 4:05 PM ETReconstructedNFLLV @ LACLAC −6.5 at 52¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)52¢ to a fair close of 51.5¢Loss−0.96%−1.00u
Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLCLE @ TBCLE/TB Over 41.5 at 50¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)50¢ to a fair close of 50.5¢Win+1.00%+1.00u
Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLGB @ NYJNYJ +3.5 at 54¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)54¢ to a fair close of 54.5¢Win+0.93%+0.85u
Sun Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETReconstructedNFLPIT @ NENE −4.5 at 51.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)51.7¢ to a fair close of 48.5¢Win−6.28%+0.93u
Sat Sep 19, 11:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFFRES @ SJSUSJSU +6.5 at 54¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)54¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢Loss+6.48%−1.00u
Sat Sep 19, 10:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFJMU @ SDSUJMU/SDSU Under 46.5 at 52.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)52.1¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢Win−4.96%+0.92u
Sat Sep 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFLSU @ MISSLSU ML at 58¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)58¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢Loss−0.86%−1.00u
Sat Sep 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFVT @ MDVT ML at 56.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)56.5¢ to a fair close of 54.5¢Win−3.55%+0.77u
Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFWMICH @ RICERICE +9.5 at 54¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)54¢ to a fair close of 53.5¢Win−0.87%+0.85u
Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFOHIO @ USAUSA ML at 70¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)70¢ to a fair close of 69.5¢Win−0.71%+0.43u
Sat Sep 19, 7:00 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFFLA @ AUBFLA ML at 55¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)55¢ to a fair close of 55.5¢Win+0.91%+0.82u
Sat Sep 19, 4:15 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFMSST @ SCSC ML at 61¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)61¢ to a fair close of 60.5¢Loss−0.82%−1.00u
Sat Sep 19, 4:15 PM ETReconstructedNCAAFMSST @ SCSC −3.5 at 50¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)50¢ to a fair close of 48.5¢Loss−3.00%−1.00u

All 250 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.