The Hooded Sharp

Reddit · 8 graded picks

u/johnnybet_comUnranked

First post Aug 10, 2026, latest Sep 15, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

Net units (1u flat)

+3.47u

8 priced picks

ROI

+43.4%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

6-2-0

Win rate 75.0%

CLV

−4.01%

95% interval −6.08% to −1.79%

Beat fair close

12.5%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

Open picks are for members

Records are free. Members see today's board: every pick, how many cappers are on it, and who.

Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now +3.47u, peak +4.47u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
SportPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Soccer86-2-0+43.4%−4.01%12.5%Unranked

By market

By market
MarketPicksRecordROICLVBeat fair closeStatus
Moneyline86-2-0+43.4%−4.01%12.5%Unranked

Graded picks

8 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/johnnybet_com: graded picks
Game (ET)SportPickTaken, fair closeResultCLVUnits
Sep 15, 2:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerAlavés ML −130 (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Alavés vs Valencia−130 to a fair close of −135Loss+1.58%−1.00u
Sep 14, 12:30 PM ETReconstructedSoccerAS Roma ML −190 (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Torino vs AS Roma−190 to a fair close of −178Win−2.29%+0.53u
Sep 11, 2:45 PM ETReconstructedSoccerRennes ML −105 (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Rennes vs Marseille−105 to a fair close of +108Win−5.92%+0.95u
Sep 10, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerSlavia Praha ML +165 (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Slavia Praha vs Lens+165 to a fair close of +190Loss−8.57%−1.00u
Sep 9, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerLiverpool ML −140 (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Liverpool vs Atlético−140 to a fair close of −125Win−4.67%+0.71u
Sep 8, 3:00 PM ETReconstructedSoccerReal Madrid ML −167 (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Real Madrid vs Inter Milan−167 to a fair close of −159Win−1.81%+0.60u
Sep 7, 2:45 PM ETReconstructedSoccerLazio ML +167 (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Udinese vs Lazio+167 to a fair close of +187Win−7.08%+1.67u
Sep 3, 2:45 PM ETReconstructedSoccerLille ML +101 (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Toulouse vs Lille+101 to a fair close of +108Win−3.32%+1.01u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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