u/muddycleats92Losing to the close
305 graded picks, first post Sep 30, 2025, latest Sep 21, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Aug 29, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFUNC @ TCU | UNC +8.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −111 | Win | +0.36% | +0.91u |
| Wed Aug 19, 10:10 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAMIN @ GS | C. Williams over 10.5 pts (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −103 | Loss | −10.16% | −1.00u |
| Wed Aug 19, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | WNBATOR @ WSH | J. Allemand over 9.5 pts (+300) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +300 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Tue Aug 18, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed | WNBAIND @ TOR | S. Cunningham over 7.5 pts (−145) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −145 to a fair close of −118 | Win | −8.40% | +0.69u |
| Sun Jan 25, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ SEA | A. Barner anytime TD (+230) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +230 to a fair close of +241 | Loss | −3.36% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 25, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ SEA | C. Parkinson anytime TD (+310) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +310 to a fair close of +377 | Loss | −14.09% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 25, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ SEA | T. Ferguson anytime TD (+550) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +550 to a fair close of +739 | Loss | −22.54% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 25, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ SEA | K. Walker III anytime TD (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −127 | Win | −1.00% | +0.77u |
| Sun Jan 25, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ SEA | LAR +3 (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −135 to a fair close of −128 | Loss | −2.21% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 25, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ SEA | J. Smith-Njigba over 6.5 rec (−136) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −136 to a fair close of −128 | Win | −2.73% | +0.74u |
| Sun Jan 25, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ SEA | D. Adams under 49.5 rec yds (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of −101 | Loss | −4.92% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 25, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ SEA | K. Williams over 13.5 rec yds (−117) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −117 to a fair close of −105 | Win | −5.19% | +0.85u |
| Sun Jan 25, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ SEA | A. Barner over 0.5 rush yds (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +107 | Loss | −5.72% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 25, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ SEA | R. Shaheed over 4.5 rush yds (−138) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −138 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 25, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ DEN | S. Diggs anytime TD (+220) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +220 to a fair close of +263 | Loss | −11.81% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 25, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ DEN | R. Stevenson anytime TD (+1100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +1100 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 25, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ DEN | R. Stevenson anytime TD (+135) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +135 to a fair close of +140 | Loss | −2.01% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 25, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ DEN | DEN +3.5 (−106) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −106 to a fair close of −101 | Win | −2.36% | +0.94u |
| Sun Jan 25, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ DEN | T. Badie over 3.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Jan 25, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ DEN | S. Diggs over 44.5 rec yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −5.75% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 25, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ DEN | L. Humphrey over 7.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Jan 25, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ DEN | R. Harvey over 21.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −6.52% | +0.87u |
| Sun Jan 25, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ DEN | M. Mims over 2.5 rec (−145) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −145 to a fair close of −120 | Win | −7.97% | +0.69u |
| Sun Jan 25, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNE @ DEN | K. Boutte under 2.5 rec (−155) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −155 to a fair close of −145 | Win | −2.51% | +0.65u |
| Mon Jan 19, 7:50 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMIA @ IU | M. Fletcher Jr. over 1.5 rec (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −6.52% | −1.00u |
| Mon Jan 19, 7:50 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMIA @ IU | R. Hemby over 68.5 rush yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Mon Jan 19, 7:50 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMIA @ IU | M. Fletcher Jr. under 70.5 rush yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −6.52% | −1.00u |
| Mon Jan 19, 7:50 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMIA @ IU | F. Mendoza over 221.5 pass yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −6.52% | −1.00u |
| Mon Jan 19, 7:50 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMIA @ IU | IU −7.5 (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +104 | Loss | −4.26% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 18, 3:03 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ NE | D. Maye anytime TD (+330) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +330 to a fair close of +371 | Loss | −8.68% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 18, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ NE | HOU +3.5 (−116) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −116 to a fair close of −107 | Loss | −3.56% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 18, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ NE | HOU/NE Over 40.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −104 | Win | −4.55% | +0.87u |
| Sun Jan 18, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ NE | K. Boutte under 2.5 rec (−151) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −151 to a fair close of −140 | Loss | −3.09% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 18, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ NE | C. Stroud over 204.5 pass yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Win | n/a | n/a |
| Mon Jan 12, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ PIT | D. Metcalf under 4.5 rec (−161) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −161 to a fair close of −145 | Win | −3.94% | +0.62u |
| Mon Jan 12, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ PIT | P. Freiermuth over 3.5 rec (+125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +125 to a fair close of +155 | Loss | −11.83% | −1.00u |
| Mon Jan 12, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ PIT | C. Kirk over 19.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −103 | Win | −5.24% | +0.87u |
| Mon Jan 12, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ PIT | HOU −2.5 (−128) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −128 to a fair close of −116 | Win | −4.43% | +0.78u |
| Mon Jan 12, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ PIT | HOU/PIT Over 37.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −112 | Loss | −3.18% | −1.00u |
| Mon Jan 12, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ PIT | A. Rodgers over 0.5 INTs (+120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +120 to a fair close of +114 | Win | +2.59% | +1.20u |
| Mon Jan 12, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ PIT | C. Stroud under 12.5 rush yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −105 | Win | −2.33% | +0.91u |
| Mon Jan 12, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ PIT | N. Collins over 67.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Jan 11, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ JAX | R. Davis anytime TD (+588) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +588 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 11, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ JAX | R. Davis over 9.5 rush yds (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −105 | Loss | −6.28% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 11, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ JAX | JAX 1H ML −130 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −118 | Loss | −4.22% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 11, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ JAX | T. Etienne Jr. under 67.5 rush yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Win | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Jan 11, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ JAX | J. Cook over 16.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Jan 11, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ JAX | J. Cook over 2.5 rec (−165) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −165 to a fair close of −130 | Loss | −9.35% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 11, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ JAX | K. Shakir over 4.5 rec (−117) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −117 to a fair close of −103 | Win | −5.97% | +0.85u |
| Sun Jan 11, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ JAX | B. Strange over 33.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
All 305 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.