u/muddycleats92Losing to the close
305 graded picks, first post Sep 30, 2025, latest Sep 21, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Jan 11, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ JAX | P. Washington over 50.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Win | n/a | n/a |
| Fri Jan 9, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFORE @ IU | ORE +3.5 (−117) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −117 to a fair close of −105 | Loss | −5.11% | −1.00u |
| Thu Jan 8, 7:46 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMIA @ MISS | MISS +3.5 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −102 | Loss | −7.48% | −1.00u |
| Thu Jan 1, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMISS @ UGA | MISS +6.5 (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of −102 | Win | −4.48% | +0.89u |
| Thu Jan 1, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMISS @ UGA | T. Chambliss over 26.5 rush yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −102 | Loss | −5.68% | −1.00u |
| Thu Jan 1, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMISS @ UGA | K. Lacy under 17.5 rush att (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −6.52% | −1.00u |
| Thu Jan 1, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMISS @ UGA | N. Frazier over 64.5 rush yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Win | n/a | n/a |
| Thu Jan 1, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMISS @ UGA | K. Lacy over 1.5 rec (−237) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −237 | Win | n/a | +0.42u |
| Mon Dec 29, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ ATL | B. Corum over 43.5 rush yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Mon Dec 29, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ ATL | ATL +7.5 (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −113 | Win | −2.19% | +0.85u |
| Mon Dec 29, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ ATL | K. Cousins over 224.5 pass yds (−121) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −121 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Mon Dec 29, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ ATL | K. Pitts Sr. under 51.5 rec yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −5.75% | +0.89u |
| Mon Dec 29, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ ATL | D. Mooney over 23.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −6.52% | +0.87u |
| Mon Dec 29, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ ATL | K. Mumpfield over 21.5 rec yds (−117) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −117 to a fair close of −101 | Loss | −6.64% | −1.00u |
| Mon Dec 29, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ ATL | K. Williams under 13.5 rec yds (−117) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −117 to a fair close of −101 | Loss | −6.64% | −1.00u |
| Mon Dec 29, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ ATL | B. Robinson over 4.5 rec (−141) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −141 to a fair close of −128 | Win | −4.02% | +0.71u |
| Sun Dec 28, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCHI @ SF | B. Purdy over 11.5 rush yds (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 to a fair close of −108 | Win | −5.64% | +0.82u |
| Sun Dec 28, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCHI @ SF | L. Burden III over 49.5 rec yds (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 | Win | n/a | +0.77u |
| Sun Dec 28, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCHI @ SF | D. Swift over 73.5 rush+rec yds (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −102 | Win | −6.60% | +0.85u |
| Sun Dec 28, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCHI @ SF | CHI/SF Over 51.5 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −108 to a fair close of +101 | Win | −4.16% | +0.93u |
| Sun Dec 28, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCHI @ SF | J. Tonges over 32.5 rec yds (−116) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −116 to a fair close of −102 | Win | −6.06% | +0.86u |
| Sun Dec 28, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCHI @ SF | C. Loveland over 3.5 rec (−145) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −145 to a fair close of −127 | Win | −5.45% | +0.69u |
| Sun Dec 28, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCHI @ SF | L. Burden III anytime TD (+210) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +210 | Win | n/a | +2.10u |
| Sun Dec 28, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCHI @ SF | D. Swift anytime TD (+145) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +145 to a fair close of +148 | Win | −1.18% | +1.45u |
| Sun Dec 28, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCHI @ SF | C. Loveland anytime TD (+210) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +210 | Win | n/a | +2.10u |
| Sun Dec 28, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCHI @ SF | J. Tonges anytime TD (+260) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +260 to a fair close of +249 | Win | +3.14% | +2.60u |
| Sun Dec 28, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCHI @ SF | B. Purdy anytime TD (+468) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +468 | Win | n/a | +4.68u |
| Sun Dec 28, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCHI @ SF | K. Bourne anytime TD (+550) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +550 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Dec 28, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCHI @ SF | J. Tonges anytime TD (+2400) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +2400 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Thu Dec 25, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ MIN | D. Montgomery over 30.5 rush yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Thu Dec 25, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ MIN | M. Brosmer over 180.5 pass yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Thu Dec 25, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ MIN | J. Oliver over 17.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Thu Dec 25, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ MIN | J. Jefferson over 4.5 rec (−170) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −170 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Mon Dec 22, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ IND | C. McCaffrey over 39.5 rec yds (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −102 | Loss | −6.60% | −1.00u |
| Mon Dec 22, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ IND | T. Warren over 3.5 rec (−168) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −168 to a fair close of −155 | Loss | −3.12% | −1.00u |
| Mon Dec 22, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ IND | J. Taylor over 2.5 rec (−175) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −175 to a fair close of −156 | Win | −4.19% | +0.57u |
| Mon Dec 22, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ IND | C. McCaffrey under 64.5 rush yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Mon Dec 22, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ IND | B. Robinson Jr. over 20.5 rush yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Mon Dec 22, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ IND | B. Purdy over 3.5 rush att (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +112 | Loss | −7.76% | −1.00u |
| Mon Dec 22, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ IND | J. Taylor under 23.5 rush att (−137) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −137 to a fair close of −125 | Win | −3.89% | +0.73u |
| Mon Dec 22, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ IND | B. Purdy over 243 pass yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Win | n/a | n/a |
| Mon Dec 22, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLSF @ IND | G. Kittle over 66.5 rec yds (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of +102 | Win | −8.48% | +0.85u |
| Sun Dec 21, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLPIT @ DET | D. Metcalf over 59.5 rec yds (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sun Dec 21, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed | NFLATL @ ARI | B. Robinson over 88.5 rush yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Dec 21, 1:03 PM ETReconstructed | NFLKC @ TEN | X. Worthy over 3.5 rec (−142) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −142 to a fair close of −133 | Loss | −2.87% | −1.00u |
| Sun Dec 21, 1:03 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCIN @ MIA | D. Achane over 3.5 rec (−155) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −155 to a fair close of −146 | Loss | −2.26% | −1.00u |
| Sun Dec 21, 1:03 PM ETReconstructed | NFLKC @ TEN | TEN +3 (−102) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −102 to a fair close of +106 | Win | −3.97% | +0.98u |
| Sun Dec 21, 1:03 PM ETReconstructed | NFLNYJ @ NO | C. Olave over 63.5 rec yds (−117) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −117 to a fair close of −101 | Win | −6.64% | +0.85u |
| Sun Dec 21, 1:03 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAC @ DAL | L. McConkey over 43.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Dec 21, 1:03 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAC @ DAL | J. Herbert over 231 pass yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Win | n/a | n/a |
All 305 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.