Reddit · 306 graded picks

u/muddycleats92Losing to the close

First post Sep 30, 2025, latest Oct 5, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/muddycleats92 (opens in a new tab)

Graded picks

306 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

u/muddycleats92: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Nov 9, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	D. Neal over 26.5 rush+rec yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · NO @ CAR	−110 to a fair close of +104	Win	−6.27%	+0.91u
Nov 9, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	T. Hill over 12.5 rush yds (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · NO @ CAR	−118 to a fair close of −104	Win	−5.96%	+0.85u
Nov 9, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	R. Odunze over 50.5 rec yds (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · NYG @ CHI	−135 to a fair close of −109	Win	−9.06%	+0.74u
Nov 9, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	T. Tagovailoa under 223.5 pass yds (−117) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · BUF @ MIA	−117	Win	No closing price for this market	+0.85u
Nov 6, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	M. Mayer over 20.5 rec yds (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · LV @ DEN	−125 to a fair close of −122	Win	−1.09%	+0.80u
Nov 6, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	T. Lockett over 15.5 rec yds (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · LV @ DEN	−120 to a fair close of −102	Win	−7.31%	+0.83u
Nov 6, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	A. Jeanty over 2.5 rec (−137) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · LV @ DEN	−137 to a fair close of −124	Win	−4.25%	+0.73u
Nov 6, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	R. Harvey over 2.5 rec (+110) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · LV @ DEN	+110 to a fair close of −110	Loss	+10.10%	−1.00u
Nov 6, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	R. Harvey over 13.5 rec yds (−141) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · LV @ DEN	−141 to a fair close of −133	Loss	−2.38%	−1.00u
Nov 6, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	B. Nix over 219.5 pass yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · LV @ DEN	−113 to a fair close of +103	Loss	−7.06%	−1.00u
Oct 16, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	R. Wilson anytime TD (+554) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · PIT @ CIN	+554 to a fair close of +801	Loss	−27.40%	−1.00u
Oct 16, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	N. Fant anytime TD (+405) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · PIT @ CIN	+405 to a fair close of +508	Win	−16.88%	+4.05u
Oct 16, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	J. Warren anytime TD (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · PIT @ CIN	−120 to a fair close of +104	Loss	−10.01%	−1.00u
Oct 16, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	C. Brown anytime TD (+115) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · PIT @ CIN	+115 to a fair close of +147	Loss	−13.10%	−1.00u
Oct 16, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	S. Miller over 10.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · PIT @ CIN	unpriced	Loss	No closing price for this market	Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units
Oct 16, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	J. Smith over 25.5 rec yds (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · PIT @ CIN	−135 to a fair close of −117	Win	−6.23%	+0.74u
Oct 13, 8:16 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	C. Kmet under 17.5 rec yds (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CHI @ WSH	−112 to a fair close of +104	Win	−7.04%	+0.89u
Oct 13, 8:16 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	L. McCaffrey under 2.5 rec (−172) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CHI @ WSH	−172 to a fair close of −154	Win	−4.23%	+0.58u
Oct 13, 8:16 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	C. Williams over 26.5 rush yds (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CHI @ WSH	−118 to a fair close of −102	Loss	−6.60%	−1.00u
Oct 13, 8:16 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	D. Swift under 14.5 rush att (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CHI @ WSH	unpriced	Win	No closing price for this market	Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units
Oct 13, 7:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	M. Penix Jr. under 228.5 pass yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · BUF @ ATL	−115 to a fair close of +100	Loss	−6.52%	−1.00u
Oct 13, 7:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	M. Penix Jr. over 6.5 rush yds (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · BUF @ ATL	−118 to a fair close of −104	Loss	−5.96%	−1.00u
Oct 13, 7:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	T. Allegier over 30.5 rush yds (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · BUF @ ATL	−125 to a fair close of −118	Win	−2.49%	+0.80u
Oct 13, 7:15 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	C. Washington over 2.5 rec (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · BUF @ ATL	−109 to a fair close of +105	Loss	−6.48%	−1.00u
Oct 12, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	P. Mahomes anytime TD (+305) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DET @ KC	+305 to a fair close of +325	Win	−4.77%	+3.05u
Oct 12, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	J. Williams anytime TD (+225) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DET @ KC	+225 to a fair close of +281	Win	−14.62%	+2.25u
Oct 12, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	X. Worthy anytime TD (+150) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DET @ KC	+150 to a fair close of +157	Win	−2.81%	+1.50u
Oct 12, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	A. St. Brown anytime TD (+120) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DET @ KC	+120 to a fair close of +132	Loss	−5.03%	−1.00u
Oct 12, 4:26 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	T. Kraft over 47.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CIN @ GB	unpriced	Loss	No closing price for this market	Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units
Oct 12, 4:26 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	T. Higgins over 40.5 rec yds (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CIN @ GB	−120 to a fair close of −109	Win	−4.22%	+0.83u
Oct 12, 4:06 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	T. Spears over 5.5 rec yds (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · TEN @ LV	−118 to a fair close of +100	Win	−7.63%	+0.85u
Oct 12, 1:01 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	J. Williams under 17.5 rush att (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DAL @ CAR	−135 to a fair close of −119	Win	−5.45%	+0.74u
Oct 12, 1:01 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	J. Jeudy over 39.5 rec yds (−145) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CLE @ PIT	−145	Win	No closing price for this market	+0.69u
Oct 12, 1:01 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	J. Warren under 48.5 rush yds (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CLE @ PIT	unpriced	Loss	No closing price for this market	Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units
Oct 12, 1:01 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	D. Njoku over 33.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CLE @ PIT	unpriced	Loss	No closing price for this market	Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units
Oct 12, 1:01 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	M. Harrison over 48.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · ARI @ IND	−115	Loss	No closing price for this market	−1.00u
Oct 12, 1:01 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	M. Harrison Jr. over 48.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · ARI @ IND	unpriced	Loss	No closing price for this market	Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units
Oct 12, 1:01 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	K. Vidal over 9.5 rec yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · LAC @ MIA	−110	Win	No closing price for this market	+0.91u
Oct 12, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	H. Long over 21.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · SEA @ JAX	unpriced	Loss	No closing price for this market	Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units
Oct 12, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	T. Etienne under 60.5 rush yds (−116) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · SEA @ JAX	−116	Win	No closing price for this market	+0.86u
Oct 12, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	R. Stevenson under 44.5 rush yds (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · NE @ NO	−112 to a fair close of +101	Win	−5.89%	+0.89u
Oct 12, 9:30 AM ETReconstructed	NFL	R. Harvey over 6.5 rush att (−119) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DEN @ NYJ	−119 to a fair close of −101	Loss	−7.56%	−1.00u
Oct 12, 9:30 AM ETReconstructed	NFL	B. Nix over 19.5 rush yds (−147) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DEN @ NYJ	−147	Win	No closing price for this market	+0.68u
Oct 6, 8:16 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	JAX +3.5 (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · KC @ JAX	−114 to a fair close of −106	Win	−3.43%	+0.88u
Oct 5, 4:26 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	T. Higgins over 44.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DET @ CIN	unpriced	Loss	No closing price for this market	Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units
Oct 5, 4:26 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	L. McConkey over 53.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · WSH @ LAC	unpriced	Loss	No closing price for this market	Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units
Oct 5, 4:06 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	G. Helm over 11.5 rec yds (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · TEN @ ARI	−135 to a fair close of −117	Win	−6.23%	+0.74u
Oct 4, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed	NCAAF	MIA −4 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · MIA @ FSU	−110 to a fair close of +111	Win	−9.68%	+0.91u
Oct 3, 8:03 PM ETReconstructed	WNBA	A. Wilson over 10.5 reb (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab)WNBA · PHX @ LV	−130 to a fair close of −145	Loss	+4.74%	−1.00u
Oct 2, 8:16 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	J. Tonges over 29.5 rec yds (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · SF @ LAR	−125	Win	No closing price for this market	+0.80u

Picks 251 to 300 of 306.

1 pick was tracked live; 305 were reconstructed from the original public posts, at the time and price they were posted. Each row is labeled. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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