Reddit · 306 graded picks

u/muddycleats92Losing to the close

First post Sep 30, 2025, latest Oct 5, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/muddycleats92 (opens in a new tab)

Graded picks

306 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post.

u/muddycleats92: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Dec 7, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	N. Collins over 5.5 rec (−102) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · HOU @ KC	−102 to a fair close of +112	Loss	−6.46%	−1.00u
Dec 7, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	D. Schultz over 4.5 rec (−104) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · HOU @ KC	−104 to a fair close of +114	Loss	−8.24%	−1.00u
Dec 6, 8:16 PM ETReconstructed	NCAAF	OSU −3.5 (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · IU @ OSU	−108 to a fair close of +109	Loss	−8.04%	−1.00u
Dec 6, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed	NCAAF	UVA −3.5 (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab)NCAAF · DUKE @ UVA	−109 to a fair close of +102	Loss	−5.04%	−1.00u
Nov 30, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	R. Harvey over 47.5 rush yds (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DEN @ WSH	unpriced	Loss	No closing price for this market	Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units
Nov 30, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	T. Burks over 12.5 rec yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DEN @ WSH	−113 to a fair close of +100	Loss	−5.86%	−1.00u
Nov 30, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	D. Samuel under 38.5 rec yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DEN @ WSH	−114 to a fair close of +100	Loss	−6.14%	−1.00u
Nov 30, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	T. McLaurin over 35.5 rec yds (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DEN @ WSH	−125 to a fair close of −105	Win	−7.98%	+0.80u
Nov 30, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	C. Sutton over 47.5 rec yds (−132) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DEN @ WSH	−132 to a fair close of −116	Win	−5.74%	+0.76u
Nov 30, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	A. Jones over 2.5 rec (−164) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · MIN @ SEA	−164 to a fair close of −152	Win	−2.89%	+0.61u
Nov 28, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	C. Kmet under 1.5 rec (−148) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CHI @ PHI	−148 to a fair close of −127	Loss	−6.24%	−1.00u
Nov 28, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	D. Swift over 50.5 rush+rec yds (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CHI @ PHI	−118 to a fair close of +100	Win	−7.63%	+0.85u
Nov 28, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	S. Barkley over 78.5 rush yds (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CHI @ PHI	unpriced	Loss	No closing price for this market	Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units
Nov 28, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	D. Goedert over 33.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CHI @ PHI	unpriced	Loss	No closing price for this market	Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units
Nov 28, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	R. Odunze over 44.5 rec yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CHI @ PHI	−114 to a fair close of −104	Loss	−4.45%	−1.00u
Nov 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	S. Perine over 2.5 rec (+350) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CIN @ BAL	+350	Loss	No closing price for this market	−1.00u
Nov 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	I. Likely over 49.5 rec yds (+370) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CIN @ BAL	+370	Win	No closing price for this market	+3.70u
Nov 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	I. Likely over 39.5 rec yds (+230) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CIN @ BAL	+230	Win	No closing price for this market	+2.30u
Nov 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	BAL −7 (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CIN @ BAL	−120 to a fair close of −110	Loss	−4.07%	−1.00u
Nov 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	D. Henry over 17.5 rush att (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CIN @ BAL	−130 to a fair close of −115	Loss	−5.44%	−1.00u
Nov 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	L. Jackson under 26.5 rush yds (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CIN @ BAL	−112 to a fair close of +100	Loss	−5.36%	−1.00u
Nov 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	K. Mitchell over 32.5 rush+rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CIN @ BAL	−115 to a fair close of −102	Loss	−5.48%	−1.00u
Nov 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	M. Andrews over 39.5 rec yds (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CIN @ BAL	−112 to a fair close of +100	Win	−5.36%	+0.89u
Nov 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	M. Tinsley over 20.5 rec yds (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CIN @ BAL	−135 to a fair close of −106	Win	−10.24%	+0.74u
Nov 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	M. Gesicki over 33.5 rec yds (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CIN @ BAL	−118 to a fair close of −110	Loss	−3.14%	−1.00u
Nov 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	I. Likely over 24.5 rec yds (−131) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CIN @ BAL	−131	Win	No closing price for this market	+0.76u
Nov 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	N. Fant under 2.5 rec (−320) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CIN @ BAL	−320 to a fair close of −255	Win	−5.77%	+0.31u
Nov 27, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	S. Perine over 1.5 rec (+117) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · CIN @ BAL	+117 to a fair close of +144	Win	−11.22%	+1.17u
Nov 27, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	J. Smith-Schuster over 2.5 rec (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · KC @ DAL	unpriced	Loss	No closing price for this market	Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units
Nov 27, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	J. Smith-Schuster over 1.5 rec (+160) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · KC @ DAL	+160 to a fair close of +156	Loss	+1.73%	−1.00u
Nov 27, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	C. Lamb over 99.5 rec yds (+200) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · KC @ DAL	+200	Win	No closing price for this market	+2.00u
Nov 27, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	J. Williams over 9.5 rec yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · KC @ DAL	−114 to a fair close of −104	Win	−4.19%	+0.88u
Nov 27, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	J. Ferguson over 33.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · KC @ DAL	unpriced	Win	No closing price for this market	Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units
Nov 27, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	D. Prescott over 262.5 pass yds (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · KC @ DAL	unpriced	Win	No closing price for this market	Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units
Nov 27, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	I. Pacheco under 30.5 rush yds (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · KC @ DAL	−112 to a fair close of −106	Win	−2.72%	+0.89u
Nov 27, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	P. Mahomes over 21.5 rush yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · KC @ DAL	−113 to a fair close of −102	Win	−4.88%	+0.89u
Nov 27, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	D. Prescott over 224.5 pass yds (−327) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · KC @ DAL	−327	Win	No closing price for this market	+0.31u
Nov 27, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	P. Mahomes over 239.5 pass yds (−290) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · KC @ DAL	−290	Win	No closing price for this market	+0.34u
Nov 27, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	J. Smith-Schuster over 8.5 rec yds (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · KC @ DAL	−118 to a fair close of −104	Loss	−5.96%	−1.00u
Nov 27, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	C. Lamb over 6.5 rec (−123) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · KC @ DAL	−123 to a fair close of −111	Win	−4.75%	+0.81u
Nov 27, 4:30 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	C. Lamb over 74.5 rec yds (−192) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · KC @ DAL	−192	Win	No closing price for this market	+0.52u
Nov 27, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	GB +3 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · GB @ DET	−110 to a fair close of −105	Win	−2.25%	+0.91u
Nov 16, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	R. Rice over 6.5 rec (−141) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · KC @ DEN	−141 to a fair close of −123	Loss	−5.79%	−1.00u
Nov 16, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	L. Jackson over 1.5 pass TDs (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · BAL @ CLE	−112 to a fair close of +100	Loss	−5.36%	−1.00u
Nov 16, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	T. McBride over 7.5 rec (+105) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · SF @ ARI	+105 to a fair close of +118	Win	−5.85%	+1.05u
Nov 16, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	K. Williams over 53.5 rush yds (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · SEA @ LAR	−120 to a fair close of +100	Win	−8.33%	+0.83u
Nov 16, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	C. Kupp over 31.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · SEA @ LAR	unpriced	Loss	No closing price for this market	Unpriced: counts in the record, not in units
Nov 9, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	Z. Ertz over 3.5 rec (−154) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · DET @ WSH	−154 to a fair close of −137	Win	−4.78%	+0.65u
Nov 9, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	R. Shaheed under 2.5 rec (+130) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · ARI @ SEA	+130 to a fair close of +104	Win	+12.67%	+1.30u
Nov 9, 4:05 PM ETReconstructed	NFL	M. Harrison Jr. over 54.5 rec yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab)NFL · ARI @ SEA	−113 to a fair close of +101	Loss	−6.28%	−1.00u

Picks 201 to 250 of 306.

1 pick was tracked live; 305 were reconstructed from the original public posts, at the time and price they were posted. Each row is labeled. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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