Reddit · 2 graded picks

u/Top_ClaimUnranked

First post Sep 14, 2026, latest Sep 18, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

u/top_claim (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

−0.33u

2 priced picks

ROI

−16.7%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

1-1-0

Win rate 50.0%

CLV

+2.85%

95% interval −2.84% to +8.54%

Beat fair close

50.0%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now −0.33u, peak +0.67u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Soccer	2	1-1-0	−16.7%	+2.85%	50.0%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Moneyline	2	1-1-0	−16.7%	+2.85%	50.0%	Unranked

Graded picks

2 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

u/Top_Claim: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Sep 19, 12:30 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Nottm Forest ML −161 (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Nottm Forest vs Coventry	−161 to a fair close of −150	Loss	−2.84%	−1.00u
Sep 17, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Betis ML −150 (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Betis vs Getafe	−150 to a fair close of −187	Win	+8.54%	+0.67u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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