Polymarket · 14 graded picks

vito3corleoneUnranked

First post Aug 22, 2026, latest Aug 31, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

vito3corleone (opens in a new tab)

Net units (1u flat)

+3.17u

14 priced picks

ROI

+22.7%

Flat 1-unit stake, priced picks

Record

9-5-0

Win rate 64.3%

CLV

−0.98%

95% interval −1.81% to −0.26%

Beat fair close

14.3%

Share of priced picks that beat the fair close

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Cumulative units (1u flat)

Now +3.17u, peak +4.05u

Flat 1 unit on every graded pick, in game order. An unpriced pick adds nothing.

By sport

By sport
Sport	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Soccer	14	9-5-0	+22.7%	−0.98%	14.3%	Unranked

By market

By market
Market	Picks	Record	ROI	CLV	Beat fair close	Status
Moneyline	14	9-5-0	+22.7%	−0.98%	14.3%	Unranked

Graded picks

14 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

vito3corleone: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Aug 31, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Arsenal ML at 66.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · AST vs ARS	66.7¢ to a fair close of 66.5¢	Win	−0.33%	+0.50u
Aug 31, 1:30 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	CA Osasuna ML at 44.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · OSA vs GET	44.9¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢	Win	−0.92%	+1.23u
Aug 30, 11:15 AM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Stade Rennais FC 1901 ML at 71.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · REN vs LMF	71.7¢ to a fair close of 71.5¢	Win	−0.26%	+0.39u
Aug 30, 9:00 AM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Brentford ML at 37.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · LEE vs BRE	37.6¢ to a fair close of 37.5¢	Loss	−0.29%	−1.00u
Aug 29, 12:30 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Udinese to win: No at 63.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · MON vs UDI	63.9¢ to a fair close of 63.5¢	Loss	−0.65%	−1.00u
Aug 29, 12:30 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Monza ML at 32.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · MON vs UDI	32.7¢ to a fair close of 32.5¢	Loss	−0.59%	−1.00u
Aug 28, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Racing ML at 50.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · RRC vs ELC	50.1¢ to a fair close of 50.5¢	Win	+0.89%	+1.00u
Aug 26, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Real Madrid ML at 82.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Real Madrid vs Real Sociedad de Fútbol	82.7¢ to a fair close of 82.5¢	Win	−0.29%	+0.21u
Aug 25, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	LASK Linz ML at 52.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · LIN2 vs CEL	52.5¢ to a fair close of 51.5¢	Win	−1.85%	+0.91u
Aug 25, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Valencia ML at 36.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Valencia vs Real Betis Balompié	36.9¢ to a fair close of 35.5¢	Loss	−3.81%	−1.00u
Aug 25, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Real Betis Balompié to win: No at 65.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Valencia vs Real Betis Balompié	65.8¢ to a fair close of 66.5¢	Loss	+1.12%	−1.00u
Aug 24, 12:30 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Lazio ML at 30.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · BOL vs LAZ	30.8¢ to a fair close of 29.5¢	Win	−4.07%	+2.25u
Aug 24, 12:30 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Bologna FC 1909 to win: No at 63¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · BOL vs LAZ	63¢ to a fair close of 61.5¢	Win	−2.46%	+0.59u
Aug 22, 12:30 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Brentford ML at 47.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Brentford vs Spurs	47.6¢ to a fair close of 47.5¢	Win	−0.19%	+1.10u

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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