u/Bet_On_Smurf85Losing to the close
307 graded picks, first post Oct 1, 2025, latest Sep 27, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat Apr 25, 6:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBANY @ ATL | D. Daniels over 11.5 R+A (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −109 | Win | −6.17% | +0.80u |
| Sat Apr 25, 6:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBANY @ ATL | O. Anunoby over 7.5 R+A (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −2.38% | +0.95u |
| Sat Apr 25, 6:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBANY @ ATL | J. Hart over 13.5 R+A (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −107 | Loss | −8.54% | −1.00u |
| Sat Apr 25, 3:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAOKC @ PHX | C. Holmgren over 16.5 pts (−127) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −127 to a fair close of −119 | Loss | −2.73% | −1.00u |
| Fri Apr 24, 10:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBASA @ POR | D. Avdija over 30.5 P+A (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +102 | Loss | −5.41% | −1.00u |
| Fri Apr 24, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBALAL @ HOU | J. Smith over 23.5 PRA (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −244 | Win | +30.04% | +0.83u |
| Fri Apr 24, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBALAL @ HOU | A. Thompson over 5.5 ast (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −116 | Loss | +0.52% | −1.00u |
| Fri Apr 24, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBABOS @ PHI | J. Tatum over 5.5 ast (−144) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −144 to a fair close of −120 | Win | −7.43% | +0.69u |
| Tue Apr 21, 10:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAHOU @ LAL | A. Thompson over 22.5 P+A (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −102 | Win | −5.47% | +0.87u |
| Tue Apr 21, 10:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAHOU @ LAL | K. Durant over 28.5 P+R (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +114 | Win | −6.74% | +1.00u |
| Tue Apr 21, 10:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAHOU @ LAL | K. Durant over 9.5 R+A (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +114 | Win | −8.56% | +0.95u |
| Tue Apr 21, 10:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAHOU @ LAL | J. Smith over 21.5 P+R (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of −101 | Win | −4.93% | +0.89u |
| Tue Apr 21, 10:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAHOU @ LAL | J. Smith over 14.5 pts (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −105 | Win | −5.48% | +0.85u |
| Tue Apr 21, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAPOR @ SA | K. Johnson over 3.5 reb (−159) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −159 to a fair close of −135 | Win | −6.36% | +0.63u |
| Tue Apr 21, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAPOR @ SA | D. Avdija over 30.5 P+A (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +105 | Loss | −8.62% | −1.00u |
| Tue Apr 21, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAPHI @ BOS | J. Tatum over 15.5 R+A (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +109 | Win | −8.83% | +0.91u |
| Sun Apr 19, 9:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAPOR @ SA | S. Castle over 7.5 ast (−111) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −111 to a fair close of +112 | Loss | −10.45% | −1.00u |
| Sun Apr 19, 9:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAPOR @ SA | S. Castle over 12.5 R+A (−145) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −145 to a fair close of −127 | Win | −5.41% | +0.69u |
| Sun Apr 19, 9:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAPOR @ SA | K. Johnson over 13.5 P+R (−160) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −160 to a fair close of −140 | Loss | −5.21% | −1.00u |
| Sun Apr 19, 9:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAPOR @ SA | J. Holiday over 25.5 PRA (−121) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −121 to a fair close of −103 | Loss | −7.45% | −1.00u |
| Sun Apr 19, 1:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAPHI @ BOS | J. Tatum over 14.5 R+A (−134) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −134 to a fair close of −117 | Win | −5.68% | +0.75u |
| Wed Apr 15, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAORL @ PHI | V. Edgecombe over 10.5 R+A (+105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +105 to a fair close of +125 | Win | −9.04% | +1.05u |
| Wed Apr 15, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAORL @ PHI | P. Banchero over 13.5 R+A (−119) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −119 to a fair close of −106 | Loss | −5.29% | −1.00u |
| Wed Apr 15, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAORL @ PHI | J. Suggs over 1.5 3PM (−210) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −210 to a fair close of −177 | Loss | −5.63% | −1.00u |
| Wed Apr 8, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAATL @ CLE | J. Johnson over 39.5 PRA (−134) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −134 to a fair close of −116 | Loss | −6.10% | −1.00u |
| Wed Apr 8, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAATL @ CLE | E. Mobley over 11.5 R+A (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −119 | Win | −3.84% | +0.77u |
| Wed Apr 8, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAMIN @ ORL | P. Banchero over 29.5 P+R (−145) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −145 to a fair close of −140 | Loss | −1.44% | −1.00u |
| Tue Apr 7, 11:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAHOU @ PHX | K. Durant over 24.5 pts (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −108 | Loss | −2.97% | −1.00u |
| Tue Apr 7, 11:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAHOU @ PHX | K. Durant over 10.5 R+A (+109) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +109 to a fair close of +122 | Loss | −5.85% | −1.00u |
| Tue Apr 7, 10:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBASAC @ GS | G. Payton over 16.5 P+R (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Tue Apr 7, 10:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBASAC @ GS | G. Payton over 10.5 pts (−129) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −129 to a fair close of −150 | Win | +6.62% | +0.78u |
| Tue Apr 7, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBACHA @ BOS | B. Miller over 8.5 R+A (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of −105 | Loss | −0.19% | −1.00u |
| Tue Apr 7, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBACHA @ BOS | J. Tatum over 14.5 R+A (+110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 to a fair close of +127 | Loss | −7.51% | −1.00u |
| Tue Apr 7, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAUTAH @ NO | K. Filipkowski over 18.5 pts (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of +106 | Loss | −12.83% | −1.00u |
| Sun Apr 5, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBACHA @ MIN | A. Dosunmu over 15.5 pts (−200) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −200 to a fair close of −168 | Loss | −5.87% | −1.00u |
| Sun Apr 5, 3:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBATOR @ BOS | J. Tatum over 14.5 R+A (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +121 | Win | −11.58% | +0.95u |
| Sat Apr 4, 7:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIA @ NYY | B. Rice over 1.5 H+R+RBI (−117) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −117 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −7.26% | −1.00u |
| Sat Apr 4, 7:06 PM ETReconstructed | MLBMIA @ NYY | X. Edwards over 1.5 H+R+RBI (+121) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +121 to a fair close of +141 | Win | −8.43% | +1.21u |
| Fri Apr 3, 10:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBANO @ SAC | S. Bey over 2.5 3PM (+138) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +138 to a fair close of +151 | Loss | −5.12% | −1.00u |
| Fri Apr 3, 10:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBANO @ SAC | N. Clifford over 7.5 R+A (−230) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −230 to a fair close of −184 | Win | −7.05% | +0.43u |
| Fri Apr 3, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBACHI @ NY | T. Jones over 16.5 P+R (−108) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −108 to a fair close of +107 | Loss | −6.94% | −1.00u |
| Fri Apr 3, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAMIN @ PHI | A. Dosunmu over 1.5 3PM (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of +102 | Win | −7.08% | +0.88u |
| Fri Apr 3, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAMIN @ PHI | A. Dosunmu over 24.5 PRA (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +105 | Win | −4.80% | +0.95u |
| Thu Apr 2, 10:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBASA @ LAC | S. Castle over 12.5 R+A (−170) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −170 to a fair close of −189 | Loss | +3.90% | −1.00u |
| Thu Apr 2, 10:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBASA @ LAC | D. Garland over 2.5 3PM (−165) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −165 to a fair close of −145 | Loss | −5.04% | −1.00u |
| Thu Apr 2, 10:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBANO @ POR | D. Murray over 27.5 PRA (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of +106 | Loss | −10.82% | −1.00u |
| Thu Apr 2, 10:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBACLE @ GS | J. Allen over 20.5 P+R (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −114 | Win | −3.96% | +0.80u |
| Wed Apr 1, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed | NBASA @ GS | K. Johnson over 12.5 pts (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −111 | Loss | −3.43% | −1.00u |
| Wed Apr 1, 9:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBADEN @ UTAH | K. Filipkowski over 3.5 ast (+130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +130 to a fair close of +146 | Loss | −6.49% | −1.00u |
| Wed Apr 1, 9:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBADEN @ UTAH | C. Braun over 10.5 pts (−139) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −139 to a fair close of −117 | Win | −7.38% | +0.72u |
All 307 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.