u/Bet_On_Smurf85Losing to the close
307 graded picks, first post Oct 1, 2025, latest Sep 27, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu Jan 29, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBASAC @ PHI | Z. LaVine over 18.5 P+A (−150) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −150 to a fair close of −132 | Win | −5.06% | +0.67u |
| Wed Jan 28, 9:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBASA @ HOU | A. Thompson over 13.5 R+A (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +114 | Loss | −12.82% | −1.00u |
| Wed Jan 28, 9:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAGS @ UTAH | J. Nurkic over 32.5 PRA (+115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +115 to a fair close of +183 | Loss | −24.13% | −1.00u |
| Wed Jan 28, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBACHA @ MEM | C. Spencer over 11.5 R+A (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −123 | Loss | −2.51% | −1.00u |
| Wed Jan 28, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAATL @ BOS | S. Hauser over 15.5 P+R (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +105 | Win | −8.62% | +0.87u |
| Wed Jan 28, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBANY @ TOR | R. Barrett over 6.5 R+A (−140) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −140 to a fair close of −127 | Win | −4.13% | +0.71u |
| Wed Jan 28, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBACHI @ IND | A. Nembhard over 11.5 R+A (+110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +110 to a fair close of +140 | Win | −12.49% | +1.10u |
| Sun Jan 25, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBATOR @ OKC | I. Quickly over 5.5 ast (+100) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +100 to a fair close of +127 | Loss | −11.97% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 25, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBANO @ SA | T. Murphy III over 29.5 PRA (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 to a fair close of −108 | Win | −5.34% | +0.82u |
| Sun Jan 25, 3:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBASAC @ DET | D. Sabonis over 13.5 R+A (−160) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −160 to a fair close of −138 | Win | −5.81% | +0.63u |
| Sat Jan 24, 9:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAMIA @ UTAH | J. Nurkic over 27.5 P+R (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +109 | Loss | −8.83% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jan 24, 9:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAMIA @ UTAH | K. George over 33.5 P+A (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +126 | Loss | −17.12% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jan 24, 8:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBALAL @ DAL | N. Marshall over 17.5 pts (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −102 | Win | −5.67% | +0.87u |
| Sat Jan 24, 8:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBALAL @ DAL | C. Flagg over 10.5 R+A (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of +109 | Win | −10.35% | +0.88u |
| Sat Jan 24, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBABOS @ CHI | S. Hauser over 10.5 pts (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −111 | Loss | −1.52% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jan 24, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBABOS @ CHI | M. Buzelis over 1.5 3PM (−140) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −140 to a fair close of −127 | Win | −3.94% | +0.71u |
| Sun Jan 18, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBACHA @ DEN | P. Watson over 21.5 P+A (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −150 | Loss | +12.29% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 18, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBACHA @ DEN | J. Murray over 28.5 pts (−111) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −111 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −4.95% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 18, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBANO @ HOU | T. Murphy over 28.5 PRA (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −108 | Loss | −3.90% | −1.00u |
| Sun Jan 18, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBANO @ HOU | K. Durant over 29.5 P+R (−123) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −123 to a fair close of −109 | Loss | −5.28% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jan 16, 10:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAWSH @ SAC | D. DeRozan over 27.5 PRA (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −101 | Loss | −5.89% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jan 16, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBACHI @ BKN | M. Porter over 33.5 P+R (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +109 | Loss | −6.76% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jan 16, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBACHI @ BKN | E. Demin over 13.5 P+R (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −140 | Loss | +4.99% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jan 16, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBACLE @ PHI | P. George over 19.5 P+R (−160) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −160 to a fair close of −127 | Loss | −9.03% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jan 16, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBACLE @ PHI | D. Mitchell over 29.5 pts (−116) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −116 to a fair close of +111 | Loss | −11.68% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jan 16, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBANO @ IND | T. Murphy over 28.5 P+R (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −105 | Loss | −6.25% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jan 16, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBANO @ IND | S. Bey over 18.5 P+R (−131) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −131 to a fair close of +105 | Win | −13.81% | +0.76u |
| Thu Jan 15, 10:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBACHA @ LAL | L. Ball over 24.5 P+R (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −102 | Win | −3.68% | +0.91u |
| Thu Jan 15, 10:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBACHA @ LAL | L. James over 12.5 R+A (−134) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −134 to a fair close of −117 | Win | −5.68% | +0.75u |
| Thu Jan 15, 10:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAATL @ POR | C. McCollum over 16.5 pts (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +110 | Win | −7.00% | +0.95u |
| Thu Jan 15, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAMIL @ SA | L. Kornet over 5.5 reb (−136) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −136 to a fair close of −126 | Loss | −3.20% | −1.00u |
| Thu Jan 15, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAOKC @ HOU | A. Thompson over 17.5 pts (−105) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −105 to a fair close of +110 | Loss | −6.96% | −1.00u |
| Wed Jan 14, 10:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBANY @ SAC | M. McBride over 10.5 pts (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 to a fair close of −108 | Loss | −5.34% | −1.00u |
| Wed Jan 14, 9:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBADEN @ DAL | P. Watson over 21.5 P+A (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Wed Jan 14, 9:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBADEN @ DAL | J. Murray over 40.5 PRA (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −109 to a fair close of +102 | Loss | −5.00% | −1.00u |
| Wed Jan 14, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAUTAH @ CHI | K. George over 5.5 ast (−146) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −146 to a fair close of −109 | Win | −12.10% | +0.68u |
| Wed Jan 14, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAUTAH @ CHI | N. Vucevic over 13.5 R+A (−133) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −133 to a fair close of −152 | Loss | +5.77% | −1.00u |
| Wed Jan 14, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBABKN @ NO | M. Porter Jr. over 33.5 P+R (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of +102 | Loss | −9.17% | −1.00u |
| Wed Jan 14, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBABKN @ NO | T. Murphy over 30.5 PRA (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of +132 | Win | −18.28% | +0.89u |
| Wed Jan 14, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBACLE @ PHI | T. Maxey over 27.5 pts (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of +123 | Loss | −17.79% | −1.00u |
| Tue Jan 13, 11:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAPOR @ GS | S. Curry over 28.5 pts (−104) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −104 to a fair close of +110 | Loss | −6.73% | −1.00u |
| Tue Jan 13, 11:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBAPOR @ GS | S. Sharpe over 25.5 pts (−125) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −125 to a fair close of −110 | Loss | −5.78% | −1.00u |
| Tue Jan 13, 10:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAATL @ LAL | D. Daniels over 24.5 PRA (−180) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −180 to a fair close of −158 | Loss | −4.85% | −1.00u |
| Tue Jan 13, 10:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAATL @ LAL | D. Daniels over 6.5 ast (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 to a fair close of +108 | Loss | −9.33% | −1.00u |
| Tue Jan 13, 10:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAATL @ LAL | J. Johnson over 32.5 P+R (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 to a fair close of −104 | Loss | −7.08% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jan 10, 9:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBACHA @ UTAH | K. George over 6.5 ast (−103) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −103 to a fair close of +120 | Loss | −10.42% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jan 10, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBADAL @ CHI | M. Buzelis over 19.5 P+A (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of +106 | Loss | −8.88% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jan 10, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBASA @ BOS | V. Wembanyama over 30.5 P+R (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +103 | Loss | −7.79% | −1.00u |
| Sat Jan 10, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed | NBADAL @ CHI | C. Flagg over 12.5 R+A (−129) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −129 to a fair close of −107 | Loss | −8.15% | −1.00u |
| Fri Jan 9, 10:40 PM ETReconstructed | NBAMIL @ LAL | K. Porter Jr. over 7.5 ast (−136) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −136 to a fair close of −116 | Loss | −6.87% | −1.00u |
All 307 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.
