Polymarket · 250 graded picks

esportsbetter1Not proven yet

First post May 28, 2026, latest Sep 30, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

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Graded picks

250 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

esportsbetter1: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Jun 24, 9:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Korea Republic ML at 57.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · RSA vs KR	57.7¢ to a fair close of 54.5¢	Loss	−5.49%	−1.00u
Jun 24, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Division One map 1 at 40.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · FlyQuest vs Division One	40.7¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢	Win	+9.28%	+1.46u
Jun 24, 6:45 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	PHI/WSH Over 9.5 at 49¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · PHI @ WSH	49¢ to a fair close of 48.5¢	Loss	−1.02%	−1.00u
Jun 24, 6:45 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: ROSE at 40¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · ROSE vs Pigeons	40¢ to a fair close of 43.5¢	Loss	+8.75%	−1.00u
Jun 24, 4:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Team Evictix at 24¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · QoR vs Team Evictix	24¢ to a fair close of 26.5¢	Loss	+10.42%	−1.00u
Jun 21, 10:30 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Leviatán Esports at 34¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports	34¢ to a fair close of 35.5¢	Win	+4.41%	+1.94u
Jun 19, 12:30 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Leviatán Esports at 45.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Team Vitality vs Leviatán Esports	45.1¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢	Win	−1.32%	+1.22u
Jun 17, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Evil Geniuses Academy at 44¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · FlyQuest vs Evil Geniuses Academy	44¢ to a fair close of 37.5¢	Win	−14.77%	+1.27u
Jun 17, 4:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Division One map 1 at 53¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Division One vs Team Evictix	53¢ to a fair close of 49¢	Loss	−7.55%	−1.00u
Jun 17, 4:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Division One at 55.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Division One vs Team Evictix	55.4¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢	Loss	−5.32%	−1.00u
Jun 16, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: FUT Esports at 33¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Team Vitality vs FUT Esports	33¢ to a fair close of 35.5¢	Loss	+7.58%	−1.00u
Jun 15, 3:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Belgium to win: No at 34¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Belgium vs Egypt	34¢ to a fair close of 33.5¢	Win	−1.47%	+1.94u
Jun 15, 1:30 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Team Vitality at 37¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Paper Rex vs Team Vitality	37¢ to a fair close of 21.5¢	Loss	−41.89%	−1.00u
Jun 14, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Leviatán Esports at 52.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics	52.3¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢	Win	+0.32%	+0.91u
Jun 13, 8:30 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	SA ML at 64¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · NY @ SA	64¢ to a fair close of 63.5¢	Loss	−0.78%	−1.00u
Jun 13, 1:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: G2 Esports at 82¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming	82¢ to a fair close of 82.5¢	Loss	+0.58%	−1.00u
Jun 13, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: FUT Esports at 53.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports	53.6¢ to a fair close of 56.5¢	Loss	+5.42%	−1.00u
Jun 12, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Team Vitality map 2 at 50¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Team Heretics vs Team Vitality	50¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢	Win	−7.00%	+1.00u
Jun 12, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Team Vitality at 50.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Team Heretics vs Team Vitality	50.8¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢	Win	+3.37%	+0.97u
Jun 12, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Leviatán Esports at 34¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports	34¢ to a fair close of 35¢	Loss	+3.08%	−1.00u
Jun 9, 1:30 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Global Esports map 2 at 55.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Global Esports vs FULL SENSE	55.3¢ to a fair close of 50.5¢	Win	−8.66%	+0.81u
Jun 9, 1:30 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Global Esports map 1 at 54.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Global Esports vs FULL SENSE	54.3¢ to a fair close of 84.5¢	Loss	+55.63%	−1.00u
Jun 9, 1:30 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Global Esports at 56¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Global Esports vs FULL SENSE	56¢ to a fair close of 71.5¢	Win	+27.59%	+0.78u
Jun 8, 8:30 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	SA ML at 47.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · SA @ NY	47.7¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢	Win	−2.61%	+1.09u
Jun 8, 1:30 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: NRG map 1 at 54.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · NRG vs Leviatán Esports	54.3¢ to a fair close of 23¢	Loss	−57.61%	−1.00u
Jun 8, 1:30 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: NRG at 57.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · NRG vs Leviatán Esports	57.5¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢	Loss	−19.11%	−1.00u
Jun 8, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: FUT Esports at 32.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Team Vitality vs FUT Esports	32.7¢ to a fair close of 34.5¢	Loss	+5.61%	−1.00u
Jun 7, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Leviatán Esports at 57.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports	57.2¢ to a fair close of 58.5¢	Win	+2.20%	+0.75u
Jun 7, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: FUT Esports at 42.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports	42.2¢ to a fair close of 42.5¢	Win	+0.73%	+1.37u
Jun 6, 12:30 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming +1.5 maps at 45.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming	45.5¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢	Loss	−2.16%	−1.00u
Jun 6, 12:30 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming at 17.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming	17.2¢ to a fair close of 18.5¢	Loss	+7.54%	−1.00u
Jun 6, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: NRG map 2 at 64¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · XLG Gaming vs NRG	64¢ to a fair close of 65¢	Win	+1.56%	+0.56u
Jun 6, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: NRG −1.5 maps at 41¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · XLG Gaming vs NRG	41¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢	Win	+8.54%	+1.44u
Jun 6, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: NRG map 1 at 64¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · XLG Gaming vs NRG	64¢ to a fair close of 72¢	Win	+12.50%	+0.56u
Jun 6, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: NRG at 68.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · XLG Gaming vs NRG	68.7¢ to a fair close of 73.5¢	Win	+6.98%	+0.46u
Jun 5, 8:30 PM ETReconstructed	NBA	SA ML at 67¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)NBA · NY @ SA	67¢ to a fair close of 67.5¢	Loss	+0.75%	−1.00u
Jun 2, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: FlyQuest map 1 at 52¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · QoR vs FlyQuest	52¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢	Loss	−14.42%	−1.00u
Jun 2, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: FlyQuest at 55.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · QoR vs FlyQuest	55.2¢ to a fair close of 53.5¢	Loss	−3.14%	−1.00u
Jun 2, 4:10 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: SaD Esports at 48.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · SaD Esports vs NRG Academy	48.4¢ to a fair close of 51¢	Win	+5.37%	+1.07u
Jun 1, 6:15 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: ROSE at 12¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Evil Geniuses Academy vs ROSE	12¢ to a fair close of 14.5¢	Loss	+20.83%	−1.00u
Jun 1, 4:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Dynamo Esports at 49.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Dynamo Esports vs Alliance Guardians	49.5¢ to a fair close of 59.5¢	Loss	+20.08%	−1.00u
May 31, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: LOUD at 21.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · LOUD vs NRG	21.4¢ to a fair close of 22.5¢	Loss	+5.10%	−1.00u
May 30, 11:15 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Leviatán Esports at 48.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Leviatán Esports vs NRG	48.5¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢	Loss	−8.33%	−1.00u
May 30, 8:10 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Sentinels at 65.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · LOUD vs Sentinels	65.1¢ to a fair close of 69¢	Loss	+5.95%	−1.00u
May 30, 2:50 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: FUT Esports at 57.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · FUT Esports vs BBL Esports	57.1¢ to a fair close of 56.5¢	Loss	−0.97%	−1.00u
May 30, 5:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: All Gamers at 58.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · All Gamers vs TYLOO	58.7¢ to a fair close of 59.5¢	Win	+1.36%	+0.70u
May 30, 4:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: DRX at 48¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Nongshim RedForce vs DRX	48¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢	Loss	+3.14%	−1.00u
May 28, 7:10 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming at 62.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Division One vs Azure Dragon Gaming	62.8¢ to a fair close of 62.5¢	Win	−0.45%	+0.59u
May 28, 6:10 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: SaD Esports at 38.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · SaD Esports vs FlyQuest	38.2¢ to a fair close of 42¢	Win	+9.90%	+1.62u
May 28, 4:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: NRG Academy at 45.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · QoR vs NRG Academy	45.8¢ to a fair close of 45.5¢	Win	−0.72%	+1.18u

Picks 201 to 250 of 250.

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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