Polymarket · 250 graded picks

esportsbetter1Not proven yet

First post May 28, 2026, latest Sep 30, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.

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Graded picks

250 graded, newest game first. Each links to the original public post. All picks so far are reconstructed from public posts.

esportsbetter1: graded picks
Game (ET)	Sport	Pick	Taken, fair close	Result	CLV	Units
Jul 17, 11:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Karmine Corp at 50.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire	50.7¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢	Win	−2.31%	+0.97u
Jul 16, 8:30 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Cloud9 at 41.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Sentinels vs Cloud9	41.8¢ to a fair close of 45.5¢	Loss	+8.80%	−1.00u
Jul 16, 5:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Leviatán Esports −1.5 maps at 51.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · LEV vs FUR	51.9¢ to a fair close of 50.5¢	Loss	−2.77%	−1.00u
Jul 16, 1:40 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Gentle Mates −1.5 maps at 52¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Pcific Esports vs Gentle Mates	52¢ to a fair close of 55.5¢	Loss	+6.66%	−1.00u
Jul 16, 11:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: GIANTX at 22¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Fnatic vs GIANTX	22¢ to a fair close of 22.5¢	Loss	+2.27%	−1.00u
Jul 16, 7:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Team Secret at 49¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Team Secret vs VARREL	49¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢	Loss	+1.02%	−1.00u
Jul 15, 1:15 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Eternal Fire map 1 at 59¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire	59¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢	Win	−2.58%	+0.69u
Jul 15, 1:15 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Eternal Fire at 65.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Team Liquid vs Eternal Fire	65.5¢ to a fair close of 66.5¢	Win	+1.48%	+0.53u
Jul 15, 11:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: FUT Esports at 59¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · FUT Esports vs Natus Vincere	59¢ to a fair close of 58.5¢	Loss	−0.83%	−1.00u
Jul 12, 4:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black at 32.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · M80 vs Shopify Rebellion Black	32.9¢ to a fair close of 33.5¢	Loss	+1.92%	−1.00u
Jul 12, 7:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Nongshim RedForce at 57.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Nongshim RedForce vs BBL Esports	57.2¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢	Win	+0.60%	+0.75u
Jul 11, 4:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black at 63¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · SaD Esports vs Shopify Rebellion Black	63¢ to a fair close of 63.5¢	Win	+0.79%	+0.59u
Jul 11, 7:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Nongshim RedForce at 57.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce	57.4¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢	Loss	+0.24%	−1.00u
Jul 10, 10:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: 100 Thieves at 48¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · 100 Thieves vs MIBR LOS	48¢ to a fair close of 48.5¢	Win	+0.96%	+1.08u
Jul 10, 6:25 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: TYLOO at 59.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · JD Gaming vs TYLOO	59.6¢ to a fair close of 60.5¢	Win	+1.43%	+0.68u
Jul 9, 4:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: NRG Academy at 51.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Nightblood Gaming vs NRG Academy	51.5¢ to a fair close of 50.5¢	Win	−1.98%	+0.94u
Jul 9, 7:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Team Heretics at 57¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Team Heretics vs BBL Esports	57¢ to a fair close of 59.5¢	Loss	+4.39%	−1.00u
Jul 8, 7:40 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	CHW ML at 50.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · BOS @ CHW	50.5¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢	Loss	−2.08%	−1.00u
Jul 7, 10:15 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Nongshim RedForce at 46.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Nongshim RedForce vs G2 Esports	46.3¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢	Win	+0.51%	+1.16u
Jul 6, 9:45 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	SF ML at 50.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · TOR @ SF	50.7¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢	Win	−2.46%	+0.97u
Jul 6, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	United States ML at 36¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · United States vs Belgium	36¢ to a fair close of 37.5¢	Loss	+4.17%	−1.00u
Jul 6, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	United States to advance at 53¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · United States vs Belgium	53¢ to a fair close of 53.5¢	Loss	+0.94%	−1.00u
Jul 6, 7:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: EDward Gaming at 38¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports	38¢ to a fair close of 37.5¢	Loss	−1.23%	−1.00u
Jul 5, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Mexico to advance at 49¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · Mexico vs England	49¢ to a fair close of 48.5¢	Loss	−1.02%	−1.00u
Jul 5, 11:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Enterprise Esports at 56.5¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Enterprise Esports vs REBORN	56.5¢ to a fair close of 58.5¢	Win	+3.55%	+0.77u
Jul 5, 9:20 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: XLG Gaming at 26¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · XLG Gaming vs G2 Esports	26¢ to a fair close of 28.5¢	Loss	+9.62%	−1.00u
Jul 5, 7:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: MIBR LOS at 62¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · MIBR LOS vs Team Heretics	62¢ to a fair close of 62.5¢	Loss	+0.81%	−1.00u
Jul 5, 7:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Global Esports at 60.2¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Global Esports vs AG.AL International	60.2¢ to a fair close of 60.5¢	Loss	+0.56%	−1.00u
Jul 4, 7:20 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: YFT Esports at 45¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · QoR vs YFT Esports	45¢ to a fair close of 43¢	Loss	−4.50%	−1.00u
Jul 4, 4:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: NRG Academy at 53¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · NRG Academy vs Evil Geniuses Academy	53¢ to a fair close of 57¢	Win	+7.55%	+0.89u
Jul 4, 10:15 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Karmine Corp at 19.3¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Karmine Corp vs Paper Rex	19.3¢ to a fair close of 19.5¢	Win	+1.09%	+4.18u
Jul 4, 9:15 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Team Vitality at 46.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Team Vitality vs NRG	46.7¢ to a fair close of 44.5¢	Win	−4.62%	+1.14u
Jul 4, 7:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: 100 Thieves at 62¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · 100 Thieves vs BBL Esports	62¢ to a fair close of 63.5¢	Win	+2.42%	+0.61u
Jul 4, 7:00 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon at 54.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Rex Regum Qeon vs EDward Gaming	54.6¢ to a fair close of 56¢	Loss	+2.62%	−1.00u
Jul 3, 10:15 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Nongshim RedForce at 48.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · G2 Esports vs Nongshim RedForce	48.1¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢	Win	−3.42%	+1.08u
Jul 2, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: YFT Esports at 44.1¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Nightblood Gaming vs YFT Esports	44.1¢ to a fair close of 42.5¢	Loss	−3.63%	−1.00u
Jul 2, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Paper Rex map 1 at 59¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Paper Rex vs NRG	59¢ to a fair close of 86¢	Win	+45.76%	+0.69u
Jul 2, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Paper Rex map 2 at 57.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Paper Rex vs NRG	57.8¢ to a fair close of 55.5¢	Loss	−4.03%	−1.00u
Jul 2, 7:30 AM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: BBL Esports at 54¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · EDward Gaming vs BBL Esports	54¢ to a fair close of 62.5¢	Win	+15.74%	+0.85u
Jun 28, 6:45 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming map 1 at 53.4¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Evil Geniuses Academy vs Azure Dragon Gaming	53.4¢ to a fair close of 52.5¢	Loss	−1.65%	−1.00u
Jun 28, 6:45 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming at 56.7¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Evil Geniuses Academy vs Azure Dragon Gaming	56.7¢ to a fair close of 58.5¢	Loss	+3.15%	−1.00u
Jun 27, 9:38 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	ATH/LAA Under 8.5 at 52¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · ATH @ LAA	52¢ to a fair close of 50.5¢	Win	−2.89%	+0.92u
Jun 27, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	Portugal ML at 52.8¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · COL vs PRT	52.8¢ to a fair close of 53.5¢	Loss	+1.30%	−1.00u
Jun 26, 7:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Division One at 50.6¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Division One vs Pigeons	50.6¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢	Win	+13.58%	+0.98u
Jun 26, 6:40 PM ETReconstructed	MLB	HOU ML at 49¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)MLB · HOU @ DET	49¢ to a fair close of 49.5¢	Loss	+1.02%	−1.00u
Jun 26, 4:15 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming at 46¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Azure Dragon Gaming vs NRG Academy	46¢ to a fair close of 40.5¢	Loss	−12.00%	−1.00u
Jun 25, 10:00 PM ETReconstructed	Soccer	United States ML at 52.9¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Soccer · TUR vs USA	52.9¢ to a fair close of 46.5¢	Loss	−12.10%	−1.00u
Jun 25, 6:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: YFT Esports at 44¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · YFT Esports vs Evil Geniuses Academy	44¢ to a fair close of 48¢	Win	+9.06%	+1.27u
Jun 25, 4:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Shopify Rebellion Black at 57¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · NRG Academy vs Shopify Rebellion Black	57¢ to a fair close of 57.5¢	Win	+0.88%	+0.75u
Jun 25, 4:00 PM ETReconstructed	Esports	Valorant: Nightblood Gaming at 22¢ (original post, opens in a new tab)Esports · Nightblood Gaming vs SaD Esports	22¢ to a fair close of 26.5¢	Win	+20.45%	+3.55u

Picks 151 to 200 of 250.

Each pick was reconstructed from its original public post, at the time and price it was posted. Only picks on games that have started are listed. See the methodology.

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