u/muddycleats92Losing to the close
305 graded picks, first post Sep 30, 2025, latest Sep 21, 2026. Every pick is graded at the price it was posted and against the closing line.
| Game (ET) | Sport | Pick | Taken, fair close | Result | CLV | Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun Dec 21, 1:03 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAC @ DAL | K. Vidal over 7.5 rec yds (−140) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −140 to a fair close of −122 | Loss | −5.80% | −1.00u |
| Sat Dec 20, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFJMU @ ORE | JMU 1H ML +598 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +598 to a fair close of +839 | Loss | −25.68% | −1.00u |
| Sat Dec 20, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFJMU @ ORE | W. Knight over 83.5 rush+rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Win | n/a | n/a |
| Sat Dec 20, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFJMU @ ORE | J. Davison over 43.5 rush yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Win | n/a | n/a |
| Sat Dec 20, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFJMU @ ORE | W. Knight over 14.5 rec yds (−158) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −158 | Win | n/a | +0.63u |
| Sat Dec 20, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFJMU @ ORE | W. Knight over 2.5 rec (−101) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −101 to a fair close of +107 | Win | −3.85% | +0.99u |
| Sat Dec 20, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFJMU @ ORE | K. Sadiq over 3.5 rec (−194) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −194 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sat Dec 20, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFJMU @ ORE | JMU +21 (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 to a fair close of −102 | Win | −4.66% | +0.89u |
| Sat Dec 20, 7:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFJMU @ ORE | JMU 1H +12.5 (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −101 | Loss | −6.09% | −1.00u |
| Sat Dec 20, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFTULN @ MISS | J. Retzlaff over 31.5 rush yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Sat Dec 20, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFTULN @ MISS | MISS −16.5 (−122) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −122 to a fair close of −107 | Win | −5.99% | +0.82u |
| Sat Dec 20, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFTULN @ MISS | O. Hayes over 18.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Win | n/a | n/a |
| Sat Dec 20, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFTULN @ MISS | C. Lee over 46.5 rec yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −6.14% | −1.00u |
| Sat Dec 20, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFTULN @ MISS | H. Wallace III over 4.5 rec (+120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +120 to a fair close of +132 | Loss | −5.14% | −1.00u |
| Sat Dec 20, 3:30 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFTULN @ MISS | D. Alexander over 2.5 rec (+140) (original post, opens in a new tab) | +140 to a fair close of +150 | Win | −4.15% | +1.40u |
| Sat Dec 20, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMIA @ TA&M | MIA TT Over 22.5 (−128) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −128 to a fair close of −115 | Loss | −4.78% | −1.00u |
| Sat Dec 20, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMIA @ TA&M | M. Fletcher Jr. over 35.5 rush yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Win | n/a | n/a |
| Sat Dec 20, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMIA @ TA&M | M. Craver over 3.5 rec (−174) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −174 to a fair close of −153 | Win | −4.66% | +0.57u |
| Sat Dec 20, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMIA @ TA&M | MIA +3.5 (−135) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −135 to a fair close of −129 | Win | −2.06% | +0.74u |
| Sat Dec 20, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMIA @ TA&M | MIA ML +125 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +125 to a fair close of +135 | Win | −4.37% | +1.25u |
| Sat Dec 20, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMIA @ TA&M | G. Pringle Jr. over 39.5 rush yds (−134) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −134 | Loss | n/a | −1.00u |
| Sat Dec 20, 12:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFMIA @ TA&M | K. Marion over 31.5 rec yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −5.75% | +0.89u |
| Fri Dec 19, 8:00 PM ETReconstructed | NCAAFALA @ OU | ALA +2.5 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of −111 | Win | +0.36% | +0.91u |
| Thu Dec 18, 8:15 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLAR @ SEA | SEA ML −124 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −124 to a fair close of −117 | Win | −2.58% | +0.81u |
| Sun Dec 14, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIN @ DAL | J. Jefferson over 61.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Dec 14, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIN @ DAL | J. Williams over 17.5 rush att (−109) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −109 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −4.13% | −1.00u |
| Sun Dec 14, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLMIN @ DAL | J. Williams over 69.5 rush yds (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −5.36% | +0.89u |
| Sun Dec 14, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLTEN @ SF | R. Pearsall over 30.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Win | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Dec 14, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLTEN @ SF | J. Jennings over 47.5 rec yds (−123) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −123 to a fair close of −109 | Loss | −5.42% | −1.00u |
| Sun Dec 14, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLTEN @ SF | B. Purdy over 241.5 pass yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −5.75% | +0.89u |
| Sun Dec 14, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCAR @ NO | NO +3 (−130) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −130 to a fair close of −126 | Win | −1.48% | +0.77u |
| Sun Dec 14, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCAR @ NO | NO ML +123 (original post, opens in a new tab) | +123 to a fair close of +128 | Win | −2.06% | +1.23u |
| Sun Dec 14, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLCAR @ NO | J. Johnson over 37.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Dec 14, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ LAR | A. St. Brown over 77.5 rec yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Win | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Dec 14, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ LAR | P. Nacua over 98.5 rec yds (−113) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −113 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −5.75% | +0.89u |
| Sun Dec 14, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ LAR | M. Stafford over 280.5 pass yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of −104 | Win | −4.60% | +0.87u |
| Sun Dec 14, 4:25 PM ETReconstructed | NFLDET @ LAR | D. Adams over 61.5 rec yds (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +102 | Win | −5.42% | +0.91u |
| Sun Dec 14, 1:03 PM ETReconstructed | NFLWSH @ NYG | WSH/NYG Over 46.5 (−106) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −106 to a fair close of +114 | Win | −9.16% | +0.94u |
| Sun Dec 14, 1:03 PM ETReconstructed | NFLLV @ PHI | J. Hurts under 0.5 INTs (−175) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −175 to a fair close of −153 | Win | −5.01% | +0.57u |
| Sun Dec 14, 1:03 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBAL @ CIN | J. Chase over 88.5 rec yds (−114) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −114 to a fair close of −101 | Win | −5.71% | +0.88u |
| Sun Dec 14, 1:03 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBAL @ CIN | Z. Flowers under 65.5 rec yds (−118) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −118 to a fair close of −104 | Loss | −5.94% | −1.00u |
| Sun Dec 14, 1:03 PM ETReconstructed | NFLARI @ HOU | HOU −10 (−110) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −110 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −4.55% | +0.91u |
| Sun Dec 14, 1:03 PM ETReconstructed | NFLARI @ HOU | N. Collins over 73.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +100 | Win | −6.52% | +0.87u |
| Sun Dec 14, 1:03 PM ETReconstructed | NFLARI @ HOU | J. Brissett under 235.5 pass yds (original post, opens in a new tab) | unpriced | Loss | n/a | n/a |
| Sun Dec 14, 1:03 PM ETReconstructed | NFLBUF @ NE | BUF ML −140 (original post, opens in a new tab) | −140 to a fair close of −132 | Win | −2.55% | +0.71u |
| Sun Dec 7, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ KC | I. Pacheco under 28.5 rush yds (−112) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −112 to a fair close of +108 | Loss | −9.08% | −1.00u |
| Sun Dec 7, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ KC | X. Worthy over 2.5 rush yds (−120) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −120 to a fair close of −104 | Loss | −6.68% | −1.00u |
| Sun Dec 7, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ KC | C. Stroud over 12.5 rush yds (−128) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −128 to a fair close of −113 | Loss | −5.60% | −1.00u |
| Sun Dec 7, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ KC | J. Smith-Schuster over 6.5 rec yds (−115) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −115 to a fair close of +100 | Loss | −6.52% | −1.00u |
| Sun Dec 7, 8:20 PM ETReconstructed | NFLHOU @ KC | N. Collins over 5.5 rec (−102) (original post, opens in a new tab) | −102 to a fair close of +112 | Loss | −6.46% | −1.00u |
All 305 graded picks are reconstructed from public posts; none were tracked live yet. Only bets whose game has started are listed. See the methodology.